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Compostela vs CF Badalona

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 Estadio Vero Boquete de San Lázaro, Santiago de Compostela
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Valin J.
47' Event
Guisande A.
76' Event
Lopez C.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-0, with Compostela advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Compostela
20%
Draws
44%
CF Badalona
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CF Badalona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • CF Badalona haven't matched Compostela's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Compostela have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Compostela, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Compostela Clean Sheet 68%
CF Badalona Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Compostela CF Badalona
Matches Played 31 27
Wins 15 13
Draws 9 5
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.58 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CF Badalona vs Compostela
2:0
Jun 14, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Compostela vs CF Badalona
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Compostela Compare

Top Goalscorer Valin J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Guisande A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

CF Badalona Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Compostela 41 / 100
CF Badalona 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Compostela CF Badalona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Compostela Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Compostela found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Compostela remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: CF Badalona has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Compostela VS CF Badalona
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Compostela

(Home)
29 Aug
Compostela
4 : 2
Ourense CF
28 Aug
Compostela
2 : 2
Estradense
19 Aug
Montaneros
1 : 1
Compostela
18 Jul
Compostela
0 : 4
Dep. A Coruna
21 Jun
CF Badalona
2 : 0
Compostela
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CF Badalona

(Away)
29 Aug
Terrassa
4 : 0
CF Badalona
15 Aug
CF Badalona
0 : 2
Espanyol B
08 Aug
L Hospitalet
2 : 3
CF Badalona
21 Jun
CF Badalona
2 : 0
Compostela
14 Jun
Compostela
3 : 0
CF Badalona
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
CD Tropezon 1
Arnedo 2
Real Murcia B 3
Pamplona 2
Guijuelo 2
Tamaraceite 3
Trival Valderas 0
La Nucia 1
Compostela 3
CF Badalona 2
Arenas Armilla 3
Pena Deportiva 6
Atletico Central 3
Caudal Deportivo 1
CD Badajoz 3
CD Cuarte 2
Leioa 1
Albacete B 2