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Stadium Background

Compostela vs SD Negreira

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Compostela in this Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Compostela.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Compostela
20%
Draws
44%
SD Negreira
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: SD Negreira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • SD Negreira haven't matched Compostela's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Compostela have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Compostela Clean Sheet 20%
SD Negreira Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Compostela SD Negreira
Matches Played 33 32
Wins 14 9
Draws 10 7
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 1.58 1
Goals Conceded 1.12 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
SD Negreira vs Compostela
1:2
Nov 18, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Compostela vs SD Negreira
5:0
May 7, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Compostela vs SD Negreira
1:0
Dec 11, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
SD Negreira vs Compostela
1:1
Mar 24, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Compostela vs SD Negreira
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Compostela 31 / 100
SD Negreira 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Compostela SD Negreira

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Compostela Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Compostela's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Defensive concern: SD Negreira conceded in 72% of 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Compostela remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Compostela VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Compostela

(Home)
13 Sept
Portugalete
0 : 0
Compostela
09 Sept
Compostela
1 : 2
Derio
06 Sept
Compostela
0 : 3
Marino De Luanco
29 Aug
Compostela
4 : 2
Ourense CF
28 Aug
Compostela
2 : 2
Estradense
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SD Negreira

(Away)
28 Oct
SD Negreira
0 : 3
Real Sociedad
04 Oct
SD Negreira
4 : 0
Textil Escudo
27 Sept
Textil Escudo
2 : 1
SD Negreira
13 May
Barco
5 : 2
SD Negreira
06 May
SD Negreira
2 : 1
Somozas
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