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Comunicaciones vs Malacateco

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional 2025/2026 Estadio Doroteo Guamuch Flores, Guatemala City
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Duarte O.
7'
de Leon F.
44'
Lopez A.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Nacional 2025/2026 game between Comunicaciones and Malacateco finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Comunicaciones.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Comunicaciones
35%
Draws
32%
Malacateco
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Comunicaciones come out ahead of Malacateco on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Liga Nacional 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Comunicaciones Clean Sheet 68%
Malacateco Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Comunicaciones Malacateco
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 13 9
Draws 4 7
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 1.16 0.91
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Liga Nacional
Comunicaciones vs Malacateco
4:2
Apr 26, 2026 Liga Nacional
Malacateco vs Comunicaciones
1:0
Mar 4, 2026 Liga Nacional
Comunicaciones vs Malacateco
3:2
Nov 23, 2025 Liga Nacional
Malacateco vs Comunicaciones
2:0
Sep 17, 2025 Liga Nacional
Comunicaciones vs Malacateco
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Comunicaciones Compare

Top Goalscorer Duarte O.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ortiz A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Malacateco Compare

Top Goalscorer Angulo Grueso B. A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lopez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Comunicaciones 41 / 100
Malacateco 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Comunicaciones Malacateco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Comunicaciones Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Comunicaciones scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

Malacateco's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Comunicaciones went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Comunicaciones VS Malacateco
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Comunicaciones

(Home)
08 Aug
Aurora F.C.
3 : 1
Comunicaciones
02 Aug
Comunicaciones
1 : 0
Deportivo San Pedro
26 Jul
Suchitepequez
0 : 0
Comunicaciones
11 May
Xelaju
2 : 0
Comunicaciones
08 May
Comunicaciones
2 : 2
Xelaju
Page 1 of 7

Malacateco

(Away)
08 Aug
Malacateco
2 : 2
Xelaju
02 Aug
Guastatoya
4 : 0
Malacateco
26 Jul
Malacateco
1 : 1
Coban Imperial
26 Apr
Malacateco
1 : 0
Comunicaciones
20 Apr
Antigua
2 : 1
Malacateco
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Xelaju 22 11 6 5 34:19 39
2 Municipal 22 11 5 6 32:21 38
3 Deportivo Mixco 22 10 6 6 30:26 36
4 Comunicaciones 22 11 2 9 28:26 35
5 Antigua 22 9 7 6 34:29 34
6 Coban Imperial 22 8 8 6 29:22 32
7 Guastatoya 22 8 7 7 29:21 31
8 Marquense 22 9 3 10 25:29 30
9 Mictlan 22 7 6 9 25:36 27
10 Malacateco 22 6 4 12 19:25 22
11 Aurora F.C. 22 4 8 10 14:30 20
12 Deportivo Achuapa 22 5 4 13 17:32 19
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)