Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Comunicaciones vs Santa Lucia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional 2022/2023 Estadio Doroteo Guamuch Flores, Guatemala City
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Cabrera E.
18'
Mejia O.
18'

AI Match Summary

The Liga Nacional 2022/2023 game between Comunicaciones and Santa Lucia finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Comunicaciones.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Comunicaciones
20%
Draws
29%
Santa Lucia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Comunicaciones

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Santa Lucia haven't matched Comunicaciones's recent run of results.
  • Comunicaciones are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Liga Nacional 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Comunicaciones Clean Sheet 68%
Santa Lucia Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Comunicaciones Santa Lucia
Matches Played 39 30
Wins 20 6
Draws 5 6
Losses 14 18
Goals Scored 1.54 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2023 Liga Nacional
Comunicaciones vs Santa Lucia
3:1
Feb 18, 2023 Liga Nacional
Santa Lucia vs Comunicaciones
0:0
Nov 10, 2022 Liga Nacional
Comunicaciones vs Santa Lucia
2:1
Aug 13, 2022 Liga Nacional
Santa Lucia vs Comunicaciones
1:1
May 15, 2022 Liga Nacional
Comunicaciones vs Santa Lucia
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Comunicaciones Compare

Top Goalscorer Mejia O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Corena J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Santa Lucia Compare

Top Goalscorer Fuentes E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Comunicaciones 95 / 100
Santa Lucia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Comunicaciones Santa Lucia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Comunicaciones Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 2:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Comunicaciones scored in 69% of their last 39 games.

Defensive concern: Santa Lucia conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Comunicaciones has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Comunicaciones VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Comunicaciones

(Home)
05 Oct
Comunicaciones
3 : 0
Suchitepequez
27 Sept
Xelaju
2 : 3
Comunicaciones
19 Sept
Comunicaciones
1 : 2
Guastatoya
13 Sept
Coban Imperial
2 : 2
Comunicaciones
10 Sept
Comunicaciones
0 : 2
Marquense
Page 1 of 8

Santa Lucia

(Away)
07 May
Santa Lucia
0 : 0
Deportivo Mixco
30 Apr
Iztapa
1 : 0
Santa Lucia
26 Apr
Santa Lucia
0 : 4
Municipal
23 Apr
Deportivo Achuapa
1 : 0
Santa Lucia
19 Apr
Santa Lucia
2 : 1
Guastatoya
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Comunicaciones 22 12 9 1 37:16 45
2 Municipal 22 13 4 5 44:21 43
3 Xelaju 22 12 7 3 31:9 43
4 Xinabajul 22 8 7 7 27:29 31
5 Guastatoya 22 7 8 7 28:22 29
6 Deportivo Mixco 22 7 8 7 23:24 29
7 Antigua 22 8 5 9 33:37 29
8 Deportivo Achuapa 22 7 5 10 24:44 26
9 Coban Imperial 22 6 7 9 16:17 25
10 Iztapa 22 5 5 12 30:49 20
11 Malacateco 22 4 7 11 24:33 19
12 Santa Lucia 22 5 4 13 14:30 19
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2022/2023 (Clausura - Play Offs)