Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Concarneau vs Dijon

France France

National 2025/2026 Stade Guy Piriou, Concarneau
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Bernard Q.
Assist: Hamada B.
64'
Sub
Ndezi B. In: Chouchane S.
Out: Ndezi B.
64'
Sub
Barka Y. In: Domingues J.
Out: Barka Y.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this National 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Concarneau
33%
Draws
40%
Dijon
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Dijon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Dijon lately — more wins on the board than Concarneau.
  • Win probability leans Dijon's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Concarneau Clean Sheet 13%
Dijon Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Concarneau Dijon
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 18
Draws 11 8
Losses 9 3
Goals Scored 1.63 2.38
Goals Conceded 1 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 6, 2026 Ligue 3
Concarneau vs Dijon
1:1
Sep 26, 2025 Ligue 3
Dijon vs Concarneau
3:0
Apr 4, 2025 Ligue 3
Dijon vs Concarneau
0:1
Nov 8, 2024 Ligue 3
Concarneau vs Dijon
1:2
Jan 20, 2015 Coupe de France
Concarneau vs Dijon
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Concarneau Compare

Top Goalscorer Baldoni S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Dijon Compare

Top Goalscorer Bernard Q.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Concarneau 27 / 100
Dijon 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Concarneau Dijon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DIJ Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Concarneau's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Dijon has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Concarneau remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Concarneau VS Dijon
1.63 Goals Scored 2.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Concarneau

(Home)
31 Jul
Concarneau
5 : 1
Pontivy
25 Jul
Laval
1 : 2
Concarneau
22 Jul
Guingamp
0 : 1
Concarneau
18 Jul
Brest
2 : 2
Concarneau
11 Jul
Concarneau
1 : 2
Lorient
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Dijon

(Away)
01 Aug
Nancy
2 : 2
Dijon
25 Jul
Sochaux
0 : 3
Dijon
22 Jul
Bourg Peronnas
1 : 2
Dijon
18 Jul
Dijon
4 : 1
Progres Niedercorn
15 Jul
Dijon
5 : 2
UNFP
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dijon 32 18 11 3 52:25 65
2 Sochaux 32 16 10 6 51:26 58
3 Rouen 32 14 13 5 43:29 55
4 Fleury-Merogis 32 15 9 8 47:30 54
5 Versailles 32 15 8 9 46:34 53
6 Orleans 32 14 9 9 42:42 51
7 Le Puy-en-Velay 32 12 11 9 45:38 47
8 Caen 32 8 16 8 39:34 40
9 Concarneau 32 8 14 10 32:37 38
10 Valenciennes 32 10 8 14 35:44 37
11 Aubagne FC 32 9 10 13 38:46 37
12 Villefranche 32 10 7 15 34:45 37
13 Quevilly 32 8 9 15 34:45 33
14 Paris 13 Atletico 32 7 11 14 26:41 32
15 Bourg Peronnas 32 8 7 17 25:44 31
16 Chateauroux 32 6 13 13 35:49 30
17 Stade Briochin 32 5 12 15 35:50 27
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)