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Concarneau vs Pacy Eure

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CFA - Group D 2011/2012
Concarneau Logo

Concarneau

0 - 1
FT
Pacy Eure Logo

Pacy Eure

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The CFA - Group D 2011/2012 game between Concarneau and Pacy Eure finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pacy Eure.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Concarneau
30%
Draws
23%
Pacy Eure
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Concarneau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Pacy Eure carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Concarneau's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Concarneau Clean Sheet 18%
Pacy Eure Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Concarneau Pacy Eure
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 9
Draws 11 7
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.23 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 18, 2012 National 2 - Group D
Concarneau vs Pacy Eure
0:1
Aug 27, 2011 National 2 - Group D
Pacy Eure vs Concarneau
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Concarneau 85 / 100
Pacy Eure 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Concarneau Pacy Eure

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Concarneau Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Concarneau found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Pacy Eure let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Concarneau has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Concarneau VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Concarneau

(Home)
20 Aug
Concarneau
2 : 0
Villefranche
14 Aug
Quevilly
1 : 1
Concarneau
07 Aug
Concarneau
0 : 2
Orleans
31 Jul
Concarneau
5 : 1
Pontivy
25 Jul
Laval
1 : 2
Concarneau
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Pacy Eure

(Away)
02 Jun
La Vitreenne
0 : 1
Pacy Eure
26 May
Pacy Eure
1 : 1
Pontivy
19 May
Les Herbiers
3 : 1
Pacy Eure
12 May
Pacy Eure
2 : 2
Fontenay
04 May
Romorantin
3 : 1
Pacy Eure
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Carquefou 34 21 8 5 52:23 105
2 Lucon 34 21 8 5 63:38 105
3 Avranches 34 19 6 9 53:33 97
4 Plabennec 34 15 11 8 55:41 90
5 Romorantin 34 16 7 11 58:33 89
6 Les Herbiers 34 14 9 11 40:40 85
7 Concarneau 34 13 7 14 49:44 80
8 Mantes 34 13 7 14 45:44 79
9 Saumur Olympique 34 11 10 13 38:43 77
10 Le Havre II 34 12 7 15 46:55 77
11 Viry-Chatillon 34 12 5 17 43:45 75
12 Le Mans II 34 10 11 13 41:47 75
13 Fontenay 34 10 9 15 30:43 73
14 Pacy Eure 34 10 9 15 34:49 73
15 Caen II 34 9 11 14 34:42 72
16 Pontivy 34 8 13 13 29:37 71
17 Lorient II 34 9 9 16 38:55 70
18 La Vitreenne 34 5 9 20 24:60 57
Promotion - National 2012/2013 (Main)