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Concarneau vs Pontivy

World World

Club Friendly
Fri, Jul 31, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Concarneau host Pontivy in the Club Friendly. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Pontivy have shipped 0 goals a game lately, while Concarneau have conceded 1.5 and scored 1.13. Head-to-head, Concarneau have won 1 to Pontivy's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on May 16, 2015, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.17 xG vs 1.25) point toward Pontivy. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Concarneau
33%
Draws
40%
Pontivy
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Pontivy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Pontivy carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Pontivy's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Concarneau Clean Sheet 19%
Pontivy Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Concarneau Pontivy
Matches Played 33 32
Wins 10 12
Draws 13 7
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.13 0
Goals Conceded 1.5 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2015 National 2 - Group D
Pontivy vs Concarneau
0:0
Jan 10, 2015 National 2 - Group D
Concarneau vs Pontivy
1:2
May 24, 2014 National 2 - Group D
Pontivy vs Concarneau
2:2
Aug 24, 2013 National 2 - Group D
Concarneau vs Pontivy
2:1
Jan 26, 2013 National 2 - Group D
Pontivy vs Concarneau
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Concarneau 28 / 100
Pontivy 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Concarneau Pontivy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PON Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Concarneau's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Pontivy has conceded goals in 72% of their last 32 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Concarneau stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Concarneau VS Pontivy
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Concarneau

(Home)
25 Jul
Laval
1 : 2
Concarneau
22 Jul
Guingamp
0 : 1
Concarneau
18 Jul
Brest
2 : 2
Concarneau
11 Jul
Concarneau
1 : 2
Lorient
15 May
Concarneau
2 : 2
Villefranche
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Pontivy

(Away)
20 Dec
Pontivy
0 : 1
Bastia
29 Nov
Espoir
0 : 4
Pontivy
15 Nov
Challans
0 : 2
Pontivy
09 Dec
Pontivy
0 : 1
Rouen
18 Nov
Pontivy
2 : 0
Plougastel
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