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Concarneau vs Pontivy

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Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Concarneau and Pontivy finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Concarneau.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Concarneau
35%
Draws
16%
Pontivy
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Concarneau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Pontivy's 1.21 goals per match outpaces what Concarneau have produced (1.17).
  • Win probability leans Concarneau's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Concarneau Clean Sheet 20%
Pontivy Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Concarneau Pontivy
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 9
Draws 12 6
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.17 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2026 Club Friendly
Concarneau vs Pontivy
5:1
May 16, 2015 National 2 - Group D
Pontivy vs Concarneau
0:0
Jan 10, 2015 National 2 - Group D
Concarneau vs Pontivy
1:2
May 24, 2014 National 2 - Group D
Pontivy vs Concarneau
2:2
Aug 24, 2013 National 2 - Group D
Concarneau vs Pontivy
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Concarneau 85 / 100
Pontivy 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Concarneau Pontivy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Concarneau Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Concarneau has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Concarneau scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Pontivy's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Concarneau VS Pontivy
1.75 Goals Scored 0.86
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 86%
50% Over 2.5 57%
25% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Concarneau

(Home)
26 Sept
Bourg Peronnas
1 : 1
Concarneau
19 Sept
Concarneau
2 : 0
Caen
12 Sept
Aubagne FC
1 : 2
Concarneau
05 Sept
Concarneau
2 : 2
Thionville
29 Aug
Valenciennes
0 : 0
Concarneau
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Pontivy

(Away)
19 Sept
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant
2 : 2
Pontivy
12 Sept
Pontivy
0 : 3
Lorient II
05 Sept
Saumur Olympique
2 : 1
Pontivy
29 Aug
Pontivy
1 : 1
Granville
22 Aug
Saint-Malo
1 : 1
Pontivy
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