Sport Picks
Concarneau vs Villefranche Prediction & H2H Stats
France
Ligue 3 Stade Guy Piriou, Concarneau 
Match Events
17'
17'
Halby J.
42'
42'
Goujon L.
Assist: Janno S.
46'
46'
Sub
Diakite A. In: Tiehi J.
Out: Diakite A.
AI Match Summary
Concarneau in this Ligue 3 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Concarneau.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
59%
35%
6%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Concarneau
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Concarneau lately — more wins on the board than Villefranche.
- Model gives Concarneau a 59% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Concarneau Clean Sheet 68%
Villefranche Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Concarneau | Villefranche |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 8 |
| Draws | 12 | 6 |
| Losses | 9 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.23 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 1.72 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 20, 2026 Ligue 3
Concarneau vs Villefranche
2:0
May 15, 2026 Ligue 3
Concarneau vs Villefranche
2:2
Aug 8, 2025 Ligue 3
Villefranche vs Concarneau
0:0
Mar 21, 2025 Ligue 3
Villefranche vs Concarneau
1:1
Oct 23, 2024 Ligue 3
Concarneau vs Villefranche
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Concarneau Compare
Top Goalscorer Goujon L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Etcheverria B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
Villefranche Compare
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Concarneau 95 / 100
Villefranche 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Concarneau Villefranche
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Concarneau Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Solid form: Concarneau remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Concarneau's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Villefranche let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Scoring Trends
Concarneau VS Villefranche
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Concarneau
(Home) 26 Sept
Bourg Peronnas
1 : 1 Concarneau
19 Sept
Concarneau
2 : 0 Caen
12 Sept
Aubagne FC
1 : 2 Concarneau
05 Sept
Concarneau
2 : 2 Thionville
29 Aug
Valenciennes
0 : 0 Concarneau
Page 1 of 7
19 Sept
Concarneau
2 : 0 Caen
05 Sept
Concarneau
2 : 2 Thionville
20 Aug
Concarneau
2 : 0 Villefranche
07 Aug
Concarneau
0 : 2 Orleans
31 Jul
Concarneau
5 : 1 Pontivy
Page 1 of 4
Villefranche
(Away) 26 Sept
Villefranche
1 : 2 Versailles
19 Sept
Le Puy-en-Velay
4 : 1 Villefranche
12 Sept
Villefranche
0 : 0 La Roche Vendee
05 Sept
Fleury 91
6 : 1 Villefranche
29 Aug
Villefranche
0 : 2 Rouen
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Le Puy-en-Velay
4 : 1 Villefranche
05 Sept
Fleury 91
6 : 1 Villefranche
20 Aug
Concarneau
2 : 0 Villefranche
07 Aug
Bourg Peronnas
3 : 2 Villefranche
15 Jul
Grenoble
5 : 2 Villefranche
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | La Roche Vendee | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 12:7 | 18 |
| 2 | Rouen | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15:5 | 17 |
| 3 | Caen | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 15:9 | 15 |
| 4 | Concarneau | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:7 | 13 |
| 5 | Versailles | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12:12 | 13 |
| 6 | Amiens SC | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:3 | 12 |
| 7 | Cannes | 8 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 8:3 | 12 |
| 8 | Thionville | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 14:13 | 12 |
| 9 | Paris 13 Atletico | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 6:7 | 12 |
| 10 | Bastia | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7:11 | 11 |
| 11 | Quevilly | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 7:9 | 10 |
| 12 | Le Puy-en-Velay | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10:9 | 10 |
| 13 | Orleans | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7:11 | 9 |
| 14 | Fleury 91 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12:10 | 9 |
| 15 | Valenciennes | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:13 | 8 |
| 16 | Aubagne FC | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5:9 | 7 |
| 17 | Bourg Peronnas | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5:13 | 5 |
| 18 | Villefranche | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7:19 | 4 |
Promotion - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Relegation)
