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Concon National vs Trasandino - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Chile Chile

Segunda Division Atlético Municipal de Concón, Concón
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Vargas L.
24'
Torres M.
27'
Poza L.

AI Match Summary

Trasandino in this Segunda Division matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Trasandino.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Concon National
30%
Draws
35%
Trasandino
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Concon National have won more games recently than Trasandino.
  • 35% — that's where the model lands on Trasandino taking it.
  • Regular Segunda Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Concon National Clean Sheet 17%
Trasandino Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Concon National Trasandino
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 13 12
Draws 4 7
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.5 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Segunda Division
Concon National vs Trasandino
1:3
May 23, 2026 Segunda Division
Trasandino vs Concon National
1:4
Mar 21, 2026 Segunda Division
Concon National vs Trasandino
1:1
Aug 16, 2025 Segunda Division
Concon National vs Trasandino
0:1
Mar 30, 2025 Segunda Division
Trasandino vs Concon National
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Concon National Compare

Top Goalscorer Vargas L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Trasandino Compare

Top Goalscorer Parada I.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Coronado M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Concon National 28 / 100
Trasandino 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Concon National Trasandino

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Trasandino Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Concon National found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Trasandino has conceded goals in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Solid form: Concon National remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Concon National VS Trasandino
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Concon National

(Home)
13 Sept
Concon National
1 : 0
Colchagua CD
05 Sept
Santiago City
3 : 0
Concon National
29 Aug
Concon National
3 : 1
Linares Unido
22 Aug
Brujas Salamanca
0 : 2
Concon National
16 Aug
Concon National
1 : 3
Trasandino
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Trasandino

(Away)
03 Oct
Santiago City
1 : 1
Trasandino
12 Sept
Trasandino
3 : 0
Brujas Salamanca
29 Aug
Osorno
2 : 2
Trasandino
22 Aug
Trasandino
0 : 0
Colchagua CD
16 Aug
Concon National
1 : 3
Trasandino
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santiago City 6 4 2 0 9:3 14
2 Linares Unido 6 3 1 2 6:7 10
3 Trasandino 6 2 3 1 10:6 9
4 Concon National 6 3 0 3 7:8 9
5 Brujas Salamanca 6 3 0 3 5:7 9
6 Colchagua CD 6 1 1 4 2:4 4
7 Osorno 6 1 1 4 5:9 4
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso 2027 (Main)