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Concord Rangers vs Carshalton Prediction & H2H Stats

England England

Isthmian League Premier Division 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

64' Event
Babajide O.
87' Event
Bell J.
Own Goal
90' Event
Babajide O.

AI Match Summary

Carshalton in this Isthmian League Premier Division 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Carshalton.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Concord Rangers
15%
Draws
48%
Carshalton
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Carshalton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Carshalton have won more games recently than Concord Rangers.
  • Model gives Carshalton a 48% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Concord Rangers Clean Sheet 10%
Carshalton Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Concord Rangers Carshalton
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 4 14
Draws 4 5
Losses 22 9
Goals Scored 0.8 1.75
Goals Conceded 2.2 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2024 Isthmian League Premier Division
Concord Rangers vs Carshalton
1:2
Sep 9, 2023 Isthmian League Premier Division
Carshalton vs Concord Rangers
2:0
Nov 10, 2012 Isthmian League Premier Division
Concord Rangers vs Carshalton
6:3
Aug 25, 2012 Isthmian League Premier Division
Carshalton vs Concord Rangers
1:2
Feb 18, 2012 Isthmian League Premier Division
Carshalton vs Concord Rangers
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Concord Rangers Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Carshalton Compare

Top Goalscorer Babajide O.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Concord Rangers 22 / 100
Carshalton 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Concord Rangers Carshalton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Carshalton Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Carshalton has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Concord Rangers went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Concord Rangers found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Concord Rangers VS Carshalton
1 Goals Scored 1.75
2.5 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Concord Rangers

(Home)
12 Sept
Winslow United
5 : 0
Concord Rangers
08 Sept
Brentwood
4 : 2
Concord Rangers
05 Sept
Concord Rangers
0 : 0
Brentwood
29 Aug
Concord Rangers
2 : 1
FC Witham Town
25 Jul
Concord Rangers
4 : 0
Hastings
Page 1 of 6

Carshalton

(Away)
03 Oct
Ramsgate
2 : 3
Carshalton
27 Sept
Southall FC
2 : 3
Carshalton
19 Sept
Maldon & Tiptree
2 : 3
Carshalton
15 Sept
Lewes
3 : 0
Carshalton
12 Sept
Carshalton
0 : 3
Dartford
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hornchurch 42 31 7 4 95:34 100
2 Chatham 42 24 7 11 87:61 79
3 Enfield Town 42 22 11 9 81:54 77
4 Wingate & Finchley 42 23 7 12 78:62 76
5 Horsham FC 42 23 7 12 64:50 76
6 Billericay 42 23 4 15 78:52 73
7 Hastings 42 19 10 13 71:54 67
8 Lewes 42 20 7 15 68:70 67
9 Whitehawk 42 17 14 11 63:54 65
10 Bognor Regis 42 16 14 12 78:63 62
11 Carshalton 42 17 11 14 73:59 62
12 Dulwich Hamlet 42 17 11 14 77:72 62
13 Hashtag 42 15 14 13 82:75 59
14 Canvey Island 42 16 6 20 62:74 54
15 Potters 42 14 9 19 65:70 51
16 Folkestone 42 13 11 18 60:71 50
17 Cray Wanderers 42 13 11 18 54:66 50
18 Cheshunt 42 12 7 23 58:72 43
19 Margate 42 10 9 23 50:80 39
20 Haringey Borough 42 6 9 27 32:88 27
21 Concord Rangers 42 6 8 28 34:82 26
22 Kingstonian 42 5 6 31 55:102 21
Promotion - National League South 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division 2023/2024 (Play Offs)