Sport Picks

Poland

III Liga - Group I 2023/2024

Concordia Elblag

1 - 3

LKS Lomza

Our Tip

Match Events

45'

Sionkowski K.

(Penalty)

66'

Bielka A.

83'

Winsztal P.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group I 2023/2024 game between Concordia Elblag and LKS Lomza finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward LKS Lomza.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Concordia Elblag

Draws

90%

LKS Lomza

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: LKS Lomza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Concordia Elblag haven't matched LKS Lomza's recent run of results.
LKS Lomza are the model's pick here, at 90%.
Regular III Liga - Group I 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%

Concordia Elblag Clean Sheet 17%

LKS Lomza Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Concordia Elblag	LKS Lomza
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	7	17
Draws	5	5
Losses	17	8
Goals Scored	2.5	1.75
Goals Conceded	1	0.88
Expected Goals (xG)	2.50	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 18, 2024 III Liga - Group I

Concordia Elblag vs LKS Lomza

Possession: 57% - 54% Cards: 3 - 1

1:3

Oct 28, 2023 III Liga - Group I

LKS Lomza vs Concordia Elblag

Possession: 41% - 47% Cards: 2 - 1

2:4

Apr 29, 2017 III Liga - Group I

LKS Lomza vs Concordia Elblag

Possession: 44% - 47% Cards: 2 - 3

0:0

Sep 17, 2016 III Liga - Group I

Concordia Elblag vs LKS Lomza

Possession: 54% - 44% Cards: 0 - 3

0:0

Apr 16, 2016 III Liga - Group V

LKS Lomza vs Concordia Elblag

Possession: 54% - 49% Cards: 0 - 0

0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Concordia Elblag Compare

Avg xG / game 1.92

Avg xA / game 1.25

LKS Lomza Compare

Top Goalscorer Bielka A.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Winsztal P.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.59

Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Concordia Elblag 10 / 100

LKS Lomza 83 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Concordia Elblag LKS Lomza

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LOM Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Concordia Elblag found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: LKS Lomza conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Concordia Elblag has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Concordia Elblag VS LKS Lomza

2.5 Goals Scored 1.75

1 Goals Conceded 0.88

50% Over 1.5 88%

50% Over 2.5 63%

50% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki	34	23	7	4	106:32	76
2	Unia Skierniewice	34	19	8	7	78:46	65
3	Legia II	34	19	8	7	70:40	65
4	Swit Mazowiecki	34	15	11	8	70:52	56
5	GKS Belchatow	34	16	8	10	58:49	56
6	Tomaszow Mazowiecki	34	15	8	11	66:54	53
7	Pelikan	34	15	7	12	52:40	52
8	LKS Lomza	34	14	6	14	52:51	48
9	Bron Radom	34	12	12	10	39:43	48
10	Warta Sieradz	34	13	5	16	43:48	44
11	GKS Wikielec	34	11	10	13	37:46	43
12	MKS Mlawa	34	11	9	14	43:50	42
13	Jagiellonia II	34	12	6	16	48:58	42
14	Victoria Sulejowek	34	11	8	15	41:48	41
15	Olimpia Zambrow	34	10	10	14	52:48	40
16	Concordia Elblag	34	8	6	20	37:98	30
17	Legionowo	34	7	6	21	41:71	27
18	Pilica Bialobrzegi	34	4	7	23	30:89	19