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Concordia U20 vs Joinville U20

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense U20 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Murilo Leite
42' Event
Rodrigo
75' Event
Sizenando P.

AI Match Summary

Joinville U20 in this Catarinense U20 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Joinville U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Concordia U20
15%
Draws
85%
Joinville U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Joinville U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Joinville U20 lately — more wins on the board than Concordia U20.
  • Joinville U20 are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Catarinense U20 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Concordia U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Joinville U20 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Concordia U20 Joinville U20
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 8
Draws 7 4
Losses 16 18
Goals Scored 0.87 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 6, 2026 Catarinense U20
Concordia U20 vs Joinville U20
1:0
Apr 7, 2026 Catarinense U20
Joinville U20 vs Concordia U20
2:2
Jul 26, 2025 Catarinense U20
Concordia U20 vs Joinville U20
1:3
May 23, 2025 Catarinense U20
Joinville U20 vs Concordia U20
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Concordia U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodrigo
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Joinville U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Murilo Leite
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sizenando P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Concordia U20 28 / 100
Joinville U20 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Concordia U20 Joinville U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Joinville U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Joinville U20 has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Concordia U20 scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Away concern: Joinville U20 has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Concordia U20 VS Joinville U20
1 Goals Scored 0.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Concordia U20

(Home)
29 Jul
Concordia U20
0 : 2
Chapecoense-SC U20
25 Jul
Avai U20
8 : 1
Concordia U20
19 Jul
Concordia U20
0 : 3
Barra FC U20
15 Jul
Criciuma U20
1 : 0
Concordia U20
11 Jul
Nacao U20
2 : 1
Concordia U20
Page 1 of 6

Joinville U20

(Away)
31 Jul
Joinville U20
2 : 3
Carlos Renaux U20
27 Jul
Barra FC U20
7 : 1
Joinville U20
22 Jul
Joinville U20
1 : 3
Criciuma U20
19 Jul
Joinville U20
2 : 1
Avai U20
11 Jul
Brusque U20
0 : 1
Joinville U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chapecoense-SC U20 18 12 4 2 41:15 40
2 Barra FC U20 18 11 6 1 38:15 39
3 Criciuma U20 18 11 5 2 28:9 38
4 Figueirense U20 18 9 3 6 38:31 30
5 Joinville U20 18 9 1 8 31:29 28
6 Avai U20 18 6 6 6 32:27 24
7 Marcilio Dias U20 18 3 5 10 20:36 14
8 Concordia U20 18 2 7 9 19:36 13
9 Nacao U20 18 3 3 12 14:40 12
10 Brusque U20 18 2 4 12 17:40 10
Promotion - Catarinense U20 2025 (Play Offs)