Sport Picks
Concordia vs Santa Catarina Prediction & H2H Stats
Brazil
Copa Santa Catarina 2025 
Match Events
57'
57'
Renan Nunes
87'
87'
Yhago
AI Match Summary
This match ends 0-2, with Santa Catarina advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
16%
30%
54%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Santa Catarina
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
54%
/ Medium Confidence
- Concordia haven't matched Santa Catarina's recent run of results.
- 54% — that's where the model lands on Santa Catarina taking it.
- Santa Catarina arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Santa Catarina, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 4 times recently and Santa Catarina have taken 3 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Concordia Clean Sheet 10%
Santa Catarina Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Concordia | Santa Catarina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 33 |
| Wins | 8 | 16 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 16 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.8 | 1.48 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.77 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.35 | 2.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 11, 2026 Catarinense
Concordia vs Santa Catarina
0:0
Oct 5, 2025 Copa Santa Catarina
Concordia vs Santa Catarina
0:2
Sep 14, 2025 Copa Santa Catarina
Santa Catarina vs Concordia
4:1
Feb 22, 2025 Catarinense
Santa Catarina vs Concordia
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Concordia Compare
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68
Santa Catarina Compare
Top Goalscorer Renan Nunes
1 Goals Assists Leader Yhago
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.45
Avg xA / game 1.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Concordia 14 / 100
Santa Catarina 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Concordia Santa Catarina
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Santa Catarina Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Concordia's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Santa Catarina's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 33 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.
Concordia went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Concordia VS Santa Catarina
0 Goals Scored 1.38
4 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 63%
100% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Concordia
(Home) 22 Feb
Criciuma
4 : 0 Concordia
12 Feb
Concordia
2 : 2 Criciuma
07 Feb
Brusque
2 : 1 Concordia
01 Feb
Concordia
0 : 0 Brusque
25 Jan
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
5 : 1 Concordia
Page 1 of 6
12 Feb
Concordia
2 : 2 Criciuma
01 Feb
Concordia
0 : 0 Brusque
22 Jan
Concordia
1 : 0 Figueirense
14 Jan
Concordia
1 : 2 Chapecoense-SC
11 Jan
Concordia
0 : 0 Santa Catarina
Page 1 of 3
Santa Catarina
(Away) 20 Sept
Santa Catarina
1 : 2 Figueirense
13 Sept
Santa Catarina
2 : 1 Marcilio Dias
06 Sept
Nacao
2 : 2 Santa Catarina
29 Aug
Blumenau
0 : 1 Santa Catarina
27 Jun
Santa Catarina
1 : 2 EC Sao Jose (PA)
Page 1 of 7
06 Sept
Nacao
2 : 2 Santa Catarina
29 Aug
Blumenau
0 : 1 Santa Catarina
21 Jun
EC Sao Jose (PA)
1 : 1 Santa Catarina
31 May
Cianorte
1 : 3 Santa Catarina
10 May
Guarany de Bage
1 : 0 Santa Catarina
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Figueirense | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 16:6 | 14 |
| 2 | Marcilio Dias | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 23:5 | 13 |
| 3 | Avai | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:16 | 4 |
| 4 | Barra FC (Santa Catarina) | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4:20 | 3 |
Promotion - Copa Santa Catarina 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Santa Catarina | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 13:3 | 16 |
| 2 | Chapecoense-SC | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 4:6 | 7 |
| 3 | Brusque | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:6 | 5 |
| 4 | Concordia | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:11 | 4 |
Promotion - Copa Santa Catarina 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Blumenau | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13:6 | 13 |
| 2 | Joinville | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:6 | 10 |
| 3 | Carlos Renaux | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8:9 | 6 |
| 4 | Nacao | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2:9 | 3 |
Promotion - Copa Santa Catarina 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Criciuma | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 15:5 | 14 |
| 2 | Tubarao | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | 8 |
| 3 | Caravaggio | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:11 | 6 |
| 4 | Camboriu | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:9 | 5 |
Promotion - Copa Santa Catarina 2025 (Play Offs)
