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Concordia vs Sepsi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Romania Romania

Romanian Cup Stadionul Concordia, Chiajna
Thu, Oct 29, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Romanian Cup. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Concordia have averaged 2.23 scored and 1.3 conceded recently, against Sepsi's 1.25 scored and 1 conceded. Past meetings favor Sepsi slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Dec 12, 2025, ending 3:1. Model xG sits at 2.25 vs 1.38, favoring Concordia. The model tips Under 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Concordia
30%
Draws
23%
Sepsi
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Concordia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Concordia lately — more wins on the board than Sepsi.
  • Model gives Concordia a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Concordia have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Sepsi, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Concordia Clean Sheet 68%
Sepsi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Concordia Sepsi
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 16 14
Draws 5 10
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 2.23 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.3 1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 12, 2025 Liga 2
Sepsi vs Concordia
3:1
Dec 21, 2018 Superliga
Sepsi vs Concordia
3:0
Sep 14, 2018 Superliga
Concordia vs Sepsi
0:3
May 7, 2018 Superliga
Sepsi vs Concordia
0:2
Mar 10, 2018 Superliga
Concordia vs Sepsi
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Concordia 95 / 100
Sepsi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Concordia Sepsi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Concordia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Concordia's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Sepsi lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Sepsi conceded in 56% of 32 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Concordia VS Sepsi
2.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 38%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Concordia

(Home)
24 Oct
Unirea Slobozia
2 : 2
Concordia
17 Oct
Concordia
5 : 0
Selimbar
10 Oct
Chindia Targoviste
3 : 2
Concordia
02 Oct
Concordia
2 : 3
Steaua Bucuresti
19 Sept
Concordia
0 : 1
Metalul Buzau
Page 1 of 6

Sepsi

(Away)
26 Oct
Sepsi
0 : 5
Univ. Craiova
17 Oct
Petrolul
1 : 1
Sepsi
09 Oct
Sepsi
0 : 2
Dinamo Bucuresti
26 Sept
Sepsi
1 : 1
Gloria Bistrita
18 Sept
FC UTA Arad
1 : 0
Sepsi
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC UTA Arad 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
2 Rapid Bucuresti 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
3 Corvinul Hunedoara 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
4 FC Botosani 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
5 Politehnica Timisoara 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
6 Minerul Lupeni 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
Promotion - Romanian Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Concordia 1 1 0 0 5:2 3
2 CFR Cluj 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
3 Universitatea Cluj 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
4 Petrolul 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
5 Sepsi 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
6 Progresul Spartac 1 0 0 1 2:5 0
Promotion - Romanian Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FCSB 1 1 0 0 5:0 3
2 Miercurea Ciuc 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
3 FC Bihor 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
4 CSM Corona Brasov 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
5 Gloria Bistrita 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
6 Campionii Arges 1 0 0 1 0:5 0
Promotion - Romanian Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dinamo Bucuresti 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
2 Univ. Craiova 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
3 Voluntari 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
4 FC Bacau 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
5 Chindia Targoviste 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
6 Sporting Liesti 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
Promotion - Romanian Cup (Play Offs)