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Condeixa vs SB Castelo Branco

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Condeixa
30%
Draws
47%
SB Castelo Branco
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: SB Castelo Branco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Condeixa haven't matched SB Castelo Branco's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Condeixa a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 29%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Condeixa Clean Sheet 16%
SB Castelo Branco Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Condeixa SB Castelo Branco
Matches Played 30 41
Wins 7 23
Draws 5 7
Losses 18 11
Goals Scored 1.2 1.85
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Condeixa vs SB Castelo Branco
2:2
Apr 3, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
SB Castelo Branco vs Condeixa
4:1
Feb 16, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Condeixa vs SB Castelo Branco
0:2
Nov 7, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
SB Castelo Branco vs Condeixa
1:0
Apr 3, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group E
SB Castelo Branco vs Condeixa
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Condeixa 36 / 100
SB Castelo Branco 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Condeixa SB Castelo Branco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Condeixa scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Condeixa stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

SB Castelo Branco's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS SB Castelo Branco
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Condeixa

(Home)
08 May
Oleiros
2 : 1
Condeixa
01 May
Condeixa
2 : 2
SB Castelo Branco
24 Apr
Condeixa
1 : 1
UC Idanhense
10 Apr
Condeixa
1 : 1
Oleiros
03 Apr
SB Castelo Branco
4 : 1
Condeixa
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SB Castelo Branco

(Away)
13 Sept
SB Castelo Branco
2 : 3
Nogueirense
06 Sept
Alverca B
0 : 1
SB Castelo Branco
29 Aug
Fatima
3 : 1
SB Castelo Branco
23 Aug
SB Castelo Branco
1 : 4
Naval 1893
16 Aug
Oliveira Hospital
2 : 3
SB Castelo Branco
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