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Condeixa W vs Ouriense W

Portugal Portugal

Liga BPI Women 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Liga BPI Women 2021/2022 game between Condeixa W and Ouriense W finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ouriense W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Condeixa W
20%
Draws
16%
Ouriense W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Condeixa W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ouriense W come out ahead of Condeixa W on wins alone.
  • Condeixa W are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Liga BPI Women 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Ouriense W here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Condeixa W Clean Sheet 20%
Ouriense W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Condeixa W Ouriense W
Matches Played 30 43
Wins 7 16
Draws 4 5
Losses 19 22
Goals Scored 1.2 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.87 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.42 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 27, 2022 Liga BPI Women
Ouriense W vs Condeixa W
1:0
Dec 19, 2021 Liga BPI Women
Condeixa W vs Ouriense W
2:4
Feb 16, 2019 Taça de Portugal Women
Condeixa W vs Ouriense W
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Condeixa W 40 / 100
Ouriense W 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Condeixa W Ouriense W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Condeixa W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.33 goals when they meet.

Ouriense W has conceded goals in 77% of their last 43 outings.

Ouriense W's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Condeixa W found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS Ouriense W
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 3.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Condeixa W

(Home)
05 Jun
Condeixa W
0 : 2
Racing Power W
28 May
Racing Power W
1 : 0
Condeixa W
22 May
Amora W
5 : 2
Condeixa W
15 May
Condeixa W
2 : 1
Estoril Praia W
08 May
Condeixa W
2 : 2
Varzim W
Page 1 of 6

Ouriense W

(Away)
11 May
Ouriense W
0 : 2
Vilaverdense W
05 May
Ouriense W
0 : 3
Sporting W
28 Apr
Ouriense W
2 : 2
Braga W
13 Apr
Damaiense W
2 : 1
Ouriense W
24 Mar
Ouriense W
2 : 3
Torreense W
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Amora W 14 12 1 1 53:22 37
2 Valadares Gaia W 14 11 1 2 33:10 34
3 Ouriense W 14 9 1 4 26:17 28
4 Condeixa W 14 6 2 6 28:21 20
5 Gil Vicente W 14 5 1 8 15:36 16
6 Estoril Praia W 14 2 4 8 10:17 10
7 Varzim W 14 2 3 9 15:29 9
8 Atletico CP W 14 2 1 11 17:45 7
Relegation - Liga BPI Women 2021/2022 (Relegation)