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Conegliano vs Este

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

69' Event
Piu A.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 game between Conegliano and Este finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Conegliano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Conegliano
15%
Draws
26%
Este
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Conegliano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Conegliano carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Conegliano a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Conegliano Clean Sheet 20%
Este Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Conegliano Este
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 10
Draws 9 6
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 1.07 0.93
Goals Conceded 0.72 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Serie D - Group C
Conegliano vs Este
1:0
Sep 28, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Este vs Conegliano
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Conegliano Compare

Top Goalscorer Piu A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Este Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Conegliano 36 / 100
Este 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Conegliano Este

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Conegliano found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Este let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Conegliano went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Conegliano VS Este
0.75 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Conegliano

(Home)
20 Sept
Conegliano
1 : 0
FC Obermais
16 Sept
Cjarlins Muzane
0 : 1
Conegliano
13 Sept
Conegliano
0 : 0
Bassano Virtus
06 Sept
Campodarsego
4 : 0
Conegliano
03 May
Conegliano
0 : 1
Altavilla
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Este

(Away)
20 Sept
Este
1 : 2
Cjarlins Muzane
16 Sept
Clodiense
1 : 0
Este
13 Sept
Este
0 : 1
FC Obermais
06 Sept
Brian Lignano
0 : 2
Este
17 May
Clodiense
1 : 0
Este
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Treviso 34 21 6 7 50:25 69
2 Legnago Salus 34 18 7 9 63:41 61
3 Clodiense 34 17 9 8 47:29 60
4 Este 34 14 13 7 40:29 55
5 Mestre 34 14 13 7 37:29 55
6 Cjarlins Muzane 34 13 12 9 41:39 51
7 Brian Lignano 34 16 8 10 58:34 50
8 Conegliano 34 13 11 10 36:28 50
9 Bassano Virtus 34 12 14 8 37:27 50
10 Campodarsego 34 13 9 12 37:34 48
11 Altavilla 34 10 16 8 28:24 46
12 Calvi Noale 34 13 5 16 38:40 44
13 Luparense FC 34 10 13 11 36:39 43
14 Vigasio 34 8 14 12 44:46 38
15 San Luigi 34 8 10 16 33:54 34
16 FC Obermais 34 8 10 16 33:46 34
17 Adriese 34 5 6 23 24:62 18
18 Portogruaro 34 1 8 25 25:81 11
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Additional match)