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Conegliano vs Mestre - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Conegliano host Mestre in the Serie D - Group C. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Conegliano have averaged 1.03 scored and 0.76 conceded recently, against Mestre's 1 scored and 1 conceded. Head-to-head, Conegliano have won 0 to Mestre's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Jan 18, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (0.69 xG vs 1.06) point toward Conegliano. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Conegliano
35%
Draws
30%
Mestre
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Conegliano come out ahead of Mestre on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Serie D - Group C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Conegliano Clean Sheet 20%
Mestre Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Conegliano Mestre
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 13 11
Draws 9 12
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.03 1
Goals Conceded 0.76 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 Serie D - Group C
Conegliano vs Mestre
1:1
Sep 20, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Mestre vs Conegliano
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Conegliano 31 / 100
Mestre 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Conegliano Mestre

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Conegliano Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Conegliano scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Mestre let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Conegliano has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Conegliano VS Mestre
0.5 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Conegliano

(Home)
04 Oct
Este
2 : 1
Conegliano
27 Sept
Conegliano
0 : 1
Lavarian Mortean Esperia
20 Sept
Conegliano
1 : 0
FC Obermais
16 Sept
Cjarlins Muzane
0 : 1
Conegliano
13 Sept
Conegliano
0 : 0
Bassano Virtus
Page 1 of 6

Mestre

(Away)
07 Oct
Mestre
0 : 2
Schio
04 Oct
Mestre
1 : 1
Campodarsego
27 Sept
FC Obermais
2 : 2
Mestre
20 Sept
Mestre
3 : 2
Altavilla
16 Sept
Bassano Virtus
0 : 0
Mestre
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cjarlins Muzane 6 5 0 1 17:5 15
2 Luparense FC 6 4 2 0 14:3 14
3 Calcio San Dona 6 3 2 1 6:4 11
4 Mestre 6 2 4 0 9:6 10
5 Campodarsego 6 3 1 2 10:8 10
6 Clodiense 6 3 1 2 9:8 10
7 Bassano Virtus 6 2 3 1 6:3 9
8 Calvi Noale 6 2 2 2 5:5 8
9 Lavarian Mortean Esperia 6 2 2 2 5:7 8
10 Este 6 2 1 3 5:5 7
11 Legnago Salus 6 2 1 3 6:9 7
12 Conegliano 6 2 1 3 3:7 7
13 Altavilla 6 1 3 2 14:9 6
14 Triestina 6 1 3 2 6:8 6
15 Virtus Bolzano 6 2 0 4 5:18 6
16 FC Obermais 6 1 2 3 6:11 5
17 Schio 6 0 4 2 3:6 4
18 Brian Lignano 6 1 0 5 7:14 3
Promotion - Serie D - Group C (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C (Play Out)