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Confianca U20 vs Lagarto U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Sergipano U20
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Sergipano U20 game between Confianca U20 and Lagarto U20 finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Confianca U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Confianca U20
30%
Draws
39%
Lagarto U20
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lagarto U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Lagarto U20's 1.43 goals per match outpaces what Confianca U20 have produced (1.1).
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Sergipano U20 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Confianca U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Lagarto U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Confianca U20 Lagarto U20
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 9 9
Draws 4 9
Losses 17 10
Goals Scored 1.1 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.32 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Sergipano U20
Confianca U20 vs Lagarto U20
2:1
Jun 9, 2024 Sergipano U20
Confianca U20 vs Lagarto U20
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Confianca U20 36 / 100
Lagarto U20 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Confianca U20 Lagarto U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lagarto U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Confianca U20 found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Lagarto U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Confianca U20 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Confianca U20 VS Lagarto U20
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.14
75% Over 1.5 57%
63% Over 2.5 43%
25% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Confianca U20

(Home)
30 Sept
Confianca U20
1 : 2
Sergipe U20
26 Sept
Atletico Gloriense U20
0 : 3
Confianca U20
23 Sept
Confianca U20
1 : 3
Desportiva Aracaju U20
19 Sept
Guarany SE U20
0 : 0
Confianca U20
16 Sept
Falcon U20
2 : 1
Confianca U20
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Lagarto U20

(Away)
30 Sept
Lagarto U20
0 : 0
Guarany SE U20
26 Sept
Sergipe U20
1 : 0
Lagarto U20
23 Sept
Itabaiana U20
3 : 3
Lagarto U20
19 Sept
Lagarto U20
3 : 0
Atletico Gloriense U20
12 Sept
Falcon U20
2 : 0
Lagarto U20
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Falcon U20 7 6 1 0 19:2 19
2 Itabaiana U20 7 4 2 1 17:13 14
3 Desportiva Aracaju U20 7 3 3 1 12:8 12
4 Sergipe U20 7 3 1 3 15:16 10
5 Guarany SE U20 7 2 3 2 12:12 9
6 Confianca U20 7 2 1 4 8:10 7
7 Lagarto U20 7 1 3 3 7:8 6
8 Atletico Gloriense U20 7 0 0 7 0:21 0
Promotion - Sergipano U20 (Play Offs)