Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Confianca vs Fortaleza

Brazil Brazil

Copa do Nordeste Estadio Estadual Lourival Baptista (Batistao), Aracaju
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Vitinho
39'
Lucas Sasha
42' Event
Miritello J. B.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Confianca
35%
Draws
55%
Fortaleza
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Fortaleza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

55% / Medium Confidence
  • Fortaleza have won more games recently than Confianca.
  • Model gives Fortaleza a 55% chance of winning this.
  • Fortaleza arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Fortaleza, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 65%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Confianca Clean Sheet 20%
Fortaleza Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Confianca Fortaleza
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 7 18
Draws 6 9
Losses 17 9
Goals Scored 0.73 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.17 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.17
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2026 Copa do Nordeste
Confianca vs Fortaleza
1:2
Apr 10, 2021 Copa do Nordeste
Confianca vs Fortaleza
0:1
Feb 22, 2020 Copa do Nordeste
Confianca vs Fortaleza
2:0
Mar 7, 2019 Copa do Nordeste
Fortaleza vs Confianca
4:0
Sep 3, 2017 Serie C
Confianca vs Fortaleza
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Confianca Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Fortaleza Compare

Top Goalscorer Vitinho
1 Goals
Assists Leader Miritello J. B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.65

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Confianca 12 / 100
Fortaleza 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Confianca Fortaleza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fortaleza Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Confianca's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Fortaleza has conceded goals in 53% of their last 36 outings.

Recent resilience: Confianca stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Confianca VS Fortaleza
0.5 Goals Scored 1
1.33 Goals Conceded 1.13
67% Over 1.5 63%
17% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Confianca

(Home)
29 Aug
Ferroviaria
1 : 0
Confianca
22 Aug
Confianca
0 : 1
Anapolis
16 Aug
Confianca
1 : 1
Maringa FC
10 Aug
Paysandu PA
2 : 1
Confianca
25 Jul
Confianca
1 : 1
Itabaiana
Page 1 of 6

Fortaleza

(Away)
13 Sept
Fortaleza
1 : 1
Ceara
09 Sept
Fortaleza
1 : 0
Avai
05 Sept
Goias
0 : 1
Fortaleza
31 Aug
Fortaleza
1 : 1
Operario-PR
23 Aug
Criciuma
0 : 2
Fortaleza
Page 1 of 8

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Vitoria 1
Ceara 0
ABC 4
Juazeirense 0
Confianca 1
Fortaleza 2
Sport Recife 1
ASA 0
Semi-finals
Vitoria 10
ABC 5
Fortaleza 3
Sport Recife 2
Final
Vitoria 4
Fortaleza 2