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Confianca vs Maringa FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Serie C Estadio Estadual Lourival Baptista (Batistao), Aracaju
Our Tip

Match Events

32'
Icaro
35'
Thiago Rosa
46'
Sub
Luiz Thiago In: Maikon Aquino
Out: Luiz Thiago

AI Match Summary

The Serie C game between Confianca and Maringa FC finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Confianca
35%
Draws
52%
Maringa FC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Maringa FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Maringa FC come out ahead of Confianca on wins alone.
  • Model gives Maringa FC a 52% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 67%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Confianca Clean Sheet 18%
Maringa FC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Confianca Maringa FC
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 7 13
Draws 7 8
Losses 18 7
Goals Scored 0.72 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.16 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 0.66 1.34
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Serie C
Confianca vs Maringa FC
1:1
May 3, 2025 Serie C
Maringa FC vs Confianca
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Confianca Compare

Top Goalscorer Icaro
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.51
Avg xA / game 0.33

Maringa FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Caique Calito
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.22
Avg xA / game 0.74

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Confianca 20 / 100
Maringa FC 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Confianca Maringa FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maringa FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Maringa FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Confianca scored in 56% of their last 32 games.

Recent resilience: Confianca stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Confianca VS Maringa FC
0.57 Goals Scored 1.25
1.43 Goals Conceded 0.75
71% Over 1.5 63%
29% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Confianca

(Home)
29 Aug
Ferroviaria
1 : 0
Confianca
22 Aug
Confianca
0 : 1
Anapolis
16 Aug
Confianca
1 : 1
Maringa FC
10 Aug
Paysandu PA
2 : 1
Confianca
25 Jul
Confianca
1 : 1
Itabaiana
Page 1 of 7

Maringa FC

(Away)
03 Oct
Santa Cruz
1 : 1
Maringa FC
26 Sept
Botafogo PB
0 : 0
Maringa FC
19 Sept
Maringa FC
2 : 0
Botafogo PB
12 Sept
Maringa FC
0 : 1
Santa Cruz
06 Sept
Floresta EC
0 : 1
Maringa FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Botafogo PB 19 10 3 6 28:19 33
2 Brusque 19 9 5 5 28:22 32
3 Ferroviaria 19 8 6 5 22:15 30
4 Maringa FC 19 8 6 5 32:30 30
5 Floresta EC 19 8 6 5 22:20 30
6 Internacional de Limeira 19 8 6 5 22:20 30
7 Paysandu PA 19 9 2 8 26:27 29
8 Santa Cruz 19 8 5 6 20:15 29
9 Ypiranga FC 19 8 5 6 27:24 29
10 Guarani 19 7 7 5 34:24 28
11 Figueirense 19 7 7 5 19:22 28
12 Maranhao 19 7 6 6 19:18 27
13 Amazonas 19 7 5 7 21:23 26
14 SER Caxias do Sul 19 6 7 6 17:16 25
15 Ituano 19 6 4 9 18:21 22
16 Volta Redonda 19 6 3 10 13:25 21
17 Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 19 5 6 8 21:21 21
18 Anapolis 19 5 4 10 17:22 19
19 Itabaiana 19 4 5 10 14:27 17
20 Confianca 19 3 4 12 11:20 13
Promotion - Serie C (Second stage)
Relegation - Serie D 2027 (Main)