Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Confianca vs Vitoria

Brazil Brazil

Copa do Nordeste Estadio Estadual Lourival Baptista (Batistao), Aracaju
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Lopez R.
16' Event
Gabriel Zeca
21'
Sub
Kelvyn In: Marcelo Nunes
Out: Kelvyn

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-2. This leg finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Confianca
30%
Draws
47%
Vitoria
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vitoria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Confianca haven't matched Vitoria's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Vitoria arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 27%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Confianca Clean Sheet 20%
Vitoria Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Confianca Vitoria
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 8 12
Draws 6 5
Losses 18 12
Goals Scored 0.78 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.16 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 0.93 0.97
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2026 Copa do Nordeste
Confianca vs Vitoria
2:2
Jul 9, 2025 Copa do Nordeste
Vitoria vs Confianca
0:1
May 22, 2022 Serie C
Vitoria vs Confianca
3:0
Oct 9, 2021 Serie B
Vitoria vs Confianca
0:1
Jul 10, 2021 Serie B
Confianca vs Vitoria
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Confianca Compare

Top Goalscorer Gabriel Zeca
1 Goals
Assists Leader Iago Silva
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Vitoria Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopez R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Erick
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.88
Avg xA / game 0.54

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Confianca 32 / 100
Vitoria 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Confianca Vitoria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vitoria let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Vitoria lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Confianca found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (32 games).

Scoring Trends

Confianca VS Vitoria
0.6 Goals Scored 0.75
1.2 Goals Conceded 1.25
60% Over 1.5 63%
20% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Confianca

(Home)
29 Aug
Ferroviaria
1 : 0
Confianca
22 Aug
Confianca
0 : 1
Anapolis
16 Aug
Confianca
1 : 1
Maringa FC
10 Aug
Paysandu PA
2 : 1
Confianca
25 Jul
Confianca
1 : 1
Itabaiana
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Vitoria

(Away)
13 Sept
Mirassol
2 : 2
Vitoria
07 Sept
Vitoria
1 : 0
Gremio
03 Sept
Vitoria
0 : 2
Vasco
29 Aug
Atletico-MG
2 : 1
Vitoria
27 Aug
Vasco
1 : 0
Vitoria
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