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Confianca W vs Forca Jovem Aquidaba W

Brazil Brazil

Sergipano Women 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Confianca W play Forca Jovem Aquidaba W in the Sergipano Women 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Confianca W averaged 5.13 goals scored and 1.47 conceded. Forca Jovem Aquidaba W averaged 1.2 goals scored and 2.4 conceded. In past meetings, Confianca W won 1, Forca Jovem Aquidaba W won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Sep 28, 2025 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.23 for Confianca W and 0.69 for Forca Jovem Aquidaba W. This points to a Confianca W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

55%
Confianca W
15%
Draws
30%
Forca Jovem Aquidaba W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Confianca W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence
  • Confianca W picked up more points recently compared to Forca Jovem Aquidaba W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.23 vs 0.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 86%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 49%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23%
Confianca W Clean Sheet 28%
Forca Jovem Aquidaba W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Confianca W Forca Jovem Aquidaba W
Matches Played 15 5
Wins 9 2
Draws 1 0
Losses 5 3
Goals Scored 5.13 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.47 2.4

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2025 Sergipano Women
Confianca W vs Forca Jovem Aquidaba W
0:0
Dec 18, 2024 Sergipano Women
Confianca W vs Forca Jovem Aquidaba W
7:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Confianca W 55 / 100
Forca Jovem Aquidaba W 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Confianca W Forca Jovem Aquidaba W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Confianca W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Confianca W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.1%
2.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.2%
1.32
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Confianca W attacking → ← attacking Forca Jovem Aquidaba W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Confianca W scored in 87% of their last 15 games.

Forca Jovem Aquidaba W let in goals in 60% of their last 5 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Confianca W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Forca Jovem Aquidaba W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

28 Points in last 5 6
3.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
0.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00