Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cong An Ha Noi vs Binh Duong

Vietnam Vietnam

V.League 1 2025/2026 Hang Day Stadium, Hanoi
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Alan Grafite
45'
Doan Tuan Canh
46'
Sub
Doan Tuan Canh In: Nguyen Van Anh
Out: Doan Tuan Canh

AI Match Summary

Cong An Ha Noi in this V.League 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cong An Ha Noi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Cong An Ha Noi
15%
Draws
44%
Binh Duong
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Binh Duong

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Binh Duong haven't matched Cong An Ha Noi's recent run of results.
  • 41% — that's where the model lands on Cong An Ha Noi taking it.
  • Regular V.League 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Cong An Ha Noi have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Cong An Ha Noi Clean Sheet 68%
Binh Duong Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cong An Ha Noi Binh Duong
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 20 9
Draws 3 7
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 2.17 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 V.League 1
Cong An Ha Noi vs Binh Duong
2:1
Aug 24, 2025 V.League 1
Binh Duong vs Cong An Ha Noi
0:3
May 30, 2025 V.League 1
Binh Duong vs Cong An Ha Noi
1:3
Sep 30, 2024 V.League 1
Cong An Ha Noi vs Binh Duong
1:0
May 17, 2024 V.League 1
Binh Duong vs Cong An Ha Noi
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cong An Ha Noi Compare

Top Goalscorer Alan Grafite
1 Goals
Assists Leader Leo Artur
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Binh Duong Compare

Top Goalscorer Zlatkovic M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cong An Ha Noi 59 / 100
Binh Duong 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cong An Ha Noi Binh Duong

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cong An Ha Noi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cong An Ha Noi scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Binh Duong's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Cong An Ha Noi stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cong An Ha Noi VS Binh Duong
2.38 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cong An Ha Noi

(Home)
20 Sept
Truong Tuoi Dong Nai
0 : 3
Cong An Ha Noi
15 Sept
Gamba Osaka
4 : 1
Cong An Ha Noi
10 Sept
Viettel
0 : 1
Cong An Ha Noi
05 Sept
Cong An Ha Noi
2 : 0
Hong Linh Ha Tinh
30 Aug
Cong An Ha Noi
5 : 0
Ho Chi Minh
Page 1 of 6

Binh Duong

(Away)
19 Sept
Thanh Hoa
0 : 2
Binh Duong
13 Sept
Van Hien
0 : 0
Binh Duong
23 Aug
Binh Duong
2 : 1
Ho Chi Minh
19 Aug
Long An
0 : 2
Binh Duong
16 Aug
Binh Duong
2 : 1
Aurora Saigon United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cong An Ha Noi 26 20 4 2 58:22 64
2 Viettel 26 15 9 2 39:21 54
3 Phu Dong Ninh Binh 26 15 6 5 53:31 51
4 Hanoi FC 26 14 4 8 48:30 46
5 Ho Chi Minh 26 10 6 10 28:36 36
6 Nam Dinh 26 9 8 9 33:32 35
7 Hai Phong 26 9 5 12 37:36 32
8 Hong Linh Ha Tinh 26 7 8 11 15:29 29
9 Song Lam Nghe An 26 7 6 13 27:40 27
10 Gia Lai 26 6 8 12 24:37 26
11 Thanh Hoa 26 5 10 11 26:38 25
12 Da Nang 26 5 9 12 33:39 24
13 PVF-CAND 26 5 9 12 26:44 24
14 Binh Duong 26 6 6 14 31:43 24
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - V.League 1 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - V.League 2 (Main)