Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Congo W vs Guinea Bissau W

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations Women 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

58' Event
Senga D.
78' Event
Dembele A.

AI Match Summary

Congo W in this Africa Cup of Nations Women 2024 tie, finishing 2-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Congo W
15%
Draws
0%
Guinea Bissau W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Congo W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Congo W have won more games recently than Guinea Bissau W.
  • Congo W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Congo W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Congo W, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Congo W Clean Sheet 19%
Guinea Bissau W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Congo W Guinea Bissau W
Matches Played 30 16
Wins 8 2
Draws 6 3
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 0.87 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2023 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Congo W vs Guinea Bissau W
2:0
Sep 21, 2023 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Guinea Bissau W vs Congo W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Congo W Compare

Top Goalscorer Senga D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dembele A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Guinea Bissau W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Congo W 85 / 100
Guinea Bissau W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Congo W Guinea Bissau W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Congo W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Guinea Bissau W conceded in 88% of 16 recent games.

Guinea Bissau W lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Congo W's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 22 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Congo W VS Guinea Bissau W
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Congo W

(Home)
26 Feb
Congo W
:
Malawi W
20 Feb
Malawi W
:
Congo W
05 Dec
Congo W
1 : 1
Tunisia W
30 Nov
Tunisia W
5 : 2
Congo W
26 Sept
Congo W
2 : 0
Guinea Bissau W
Page 1 of 6

Guinea Bissau W

(Away)
26 May
Mauritania W
2 : 0
Guinea Bissau W
24 May
Guinea Bissau W
1 : 4
Mali W
22 May
Guinea Bissau W
1 : 3
Liberia W
26 Sept
Congo W
2 : 0
Guinea Bissau W
21 Sept
Guinea Bissau W
0 : 1
Congo W
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Senegal W 3
Mozambique W 2
Egypt W 8
South Sudan W 0
Central Africa W 1
Mali W 10
Guinea W 11
Mauritius W 0
Nigeria W -
Sao Tome and Principe W -
Cape Verde W 6
Liberia W 2
Uganda W 2
Algeria W 3
Burundi W 3
Ethiopia W 2
Equatorial Guinea W -
Libya W -
D.R. Congo W 4
Benin W 2
Ivory Coast W 2
Tanzania W 3
Djibouti W 0
Togo W 13
Rwanda W 0
Ghana W 12
Gambia W 2
Namibia W 5
Cameroon W 1
Kenya W 2
Gabon W 1
Botswana W 10
Tunisia W 12
Niger W 1
Guinea Bissau W 0
Congo W 3
Angola W -
Sudan W -
TBD -
Zambia W -
Eswatini W 2
Burkina Faso W 6
TBD -
South Africa W -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
Senegal W 4
Egypt W 0
Mali W 10
Guinea W 2
Nigeria W 7
Cape Verde W 1
Algeria W 6
Burundi W 1
Equatorial Guinea W 2
D.R. Congo W 3
Tanzania W 3
Togo W 2
Ghana W 3
Namibia W 2
Kenya W 1
Botswana W 2
Tunisia W 6
Congo W 3
Angola W 0
Zambia W 12
Burkina Faso W 1
South Africa W 3
TBD -
TBD -