Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Congo W vs Malawi W

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations Women
Wed, Feb 26, 2025
VS
02:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 0-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Congo W at 1.13 goals for, 1.45 against; Malawi W at 1.41 for, 1.62 against. Head-to-head, Congo W have won 0 to Malawi W's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Feb 26, 2025, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.29 - 1.36) back Congo W to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Congo W
15%
Draws
59%
Malawi W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Malawi W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Malawi W have won more games recently than Congo W.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Malawi W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Congo W Clean Sheet 18%
Malawi W Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Congo W Malawi W
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 9 12
Draws 6 3
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 1.13 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 26, 2025 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Congo W vs Malawi W
0:0
Feb 20, 2025 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Malawi W vs Congo W
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Congo W 32 / 100
Malawi W 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Congo W Malawi W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Congo W scored in 70% of their last 23 games.

Malawi W has conceded goals in 78% of their last 27 outings.

These sides typically produce 0.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Congo W remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Malawi W
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Congo W

(Home)
26 Feb
Congo W
:
Malawi W
20 Feb
Malawi W
:
Congo W
05 Dec
Congo W
1 : 1
Tunisia W
30 Nov
Tunisia W
5 : 2
Congo W
26 Sept
Congo W
2 : 0
Guinea Bissau W
Page 1 of 7

Malawi W

(Away)
16 Aug
Cameroon W
3 : 0
Malawi W
12 Aug
Algeria W
1 : 3
Malawi W
09 Aug
Malawi W
2 : 1
Ghana W
05 Aug
Malawi W
1 : 2
Zambia W
01 Aug
Egypt W
1 : 3
Malawi W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Angola W 4
Zimbabwe W 3
Malawi W -
Congo W -
Botswana W 0
D.R. Congo W 2
TBD -
South Africa W -
Tanzania W 4
Equatorial Guinea W 2
Uganda W 2
Ethiopia W 3
Eswatini W 0
Namibia W 4
TBD -
Zambia W -
Burundi W 1
Burkina Faso W 5
Djibouti W 0
Togo W 10
South Sudan W 0
Algeria W 8
TBD -
Cameroon W -
Rwanda W 2
Egypt W 3
TBD -
Ghana W -
Kenya W 1
Tunisia W 0
Niger W 1
Gambia W 4
Benin W 5
Sierra Leone W 2
TBD -
Nigeria W -
Guinea W 3
Cape Verde W 6
Gabon W 1
Mali W 10
Chad W -
Senegal W -
TBD -
Ivory Coast W -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
Angola W 0
Malawi W 2
D.R. Congo W 1
South Africa W 2
Tanzania W 3
Ethiopia W 0
Namibia W 2
Zambia W 7
Burkina Faso W 3
Togo W 0
Algeria W 3
Cameroon W 1
Egypt W 0
Ghana W 7
Kenya W 4
Gambia W 1
Benin W 1
Nigeria W 3
Cape Verde W 4
Mali W 3
Senegal W 1
Ivory Coast W 0
TBD -
TBD -