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Conil vs Arcos CF

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 10 2020/2021
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 10 2020/2021 game between Conil and Arcos CF finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Conil
20%
Draws
15%
Arcos CF
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Conil

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Conil carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 65% — that's where the model lands on Conil taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Conil Clean Sheet 20%
Arcos CF Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Conil Arcos CF
Matches Played 40 30
Wins 21 5
Draws 8 11
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.65 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Conil vs Arcos CF
2:2
Dec 20, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Arcos CF vs Conil
0:0
Mar 15, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Conil vs Arcos CF
0:0
Nov 1, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Arcos CF vs Conil
1:1
Mar 10, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Conil vs Arcos CF
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Conil 58 / 100
Arcos CF 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Conil Arcos CF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Conil Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Conil's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 40 recent games.

Arcos CF's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Conil went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Arcos CF has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Conil VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Conil

(Home)
10 May
Linense
2 : 0
Conil
03 May
Conil
3 : 2
Atl. Onubense (Huelva B)
26 Apr
Pozoblanco
0 : 1
Conil
19 Apr
Conil
1 : 0
San Roque de Lepe
12 Apr
Castilleja CF
3 : 1
Conil
Page 1 of 8

Arcos CF

(Away)
26 Aug
Arcos CF
0 : 1
Antoniano
28 Aug
Lebrijana
2 : 2
Arcos CF
20 Aug
Antoniano
2 : 1
Arcos CF
06 Jun
Coria C.F.
2 : 1
Arcos CF
30 May
Arcos CF
1 : 1
La Palma CF
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Xerez Deportivo FC 18 11 4 3 26:11 37
2 Xerez CD 18 10 5 3 23:11 35
3 AD Ceuta 18 7 8 3 26:17 29
4 Los Barrios 18 7 3 8 18:17 24
5 CD Rota 18 6 4 8 15:21 22
6 Antoniano 18 4 9 5 15:20 21
7 Conil 18 3 11 4 19:18 20
8 Cabecense 18 4 7 7 15:23 19
9 Arcos CF 18 4 5 9 10:19 17
10 Lebrijana 18 4 4 10 15:25 16
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 10 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 10 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 10 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 San Roque de Lepe 20 14 3 3 30:18 45
2 Ciudad de Lucena 20 12 4 4 35:16 40
3 Puente Genil 20 9 6 5 28:24 33
4 Cordoba B 20 8 6 6 31:25 30
5 CD Utrera 20 9 3 8 26:26 30
6 Pozoblanco 20 7 6 7 22:23 27
7 Sevilla C 20 7 5 8 17:20 26
8 Inter Sevilla 20 5 7 8 17:25 22
9 Castilleja CF 20 6 3 11 25:27 21
10 Coria C.F. 20 3 6 11 14:28 15
11 La Palma CF 20 2 7 11 14:27 13
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 10 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 10 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 10 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)