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Conil vs Linense

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Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Juaniyo Gomez
75' Event
Gonzalez A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026 game between Conil and Linense finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Linense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Conil
15%
Draws
34%
Linense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Conil

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Linense haven't matched Conil's recent run of results.
  • 34% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Linense here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Conil Clean Sheet 24%
Linense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Conil Linense
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 13 11
Draws 6 11
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.18 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.18 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Linense vs Conil
2:0
Jan 11, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Conil vs Linense
0:2
May 15, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Linense vs Conil
3:0
Dec 19, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Conil vs Linense
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Conil Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Linense Compare

Top Goalscorer Juaniyo Gomez
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gonzalez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Conil 37 / 100
Linense 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Conil Linense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Linense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Conil's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.75 goals as a typical output.

Conil went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Linense's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Conil VS Linense
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Conil

(Home)
13 Sept
CD Utrera
2 : 0
Conil
09 Sept
Melilla
0 : 1
Conil
05 Sept
Conil
1 : 0
Pozoblanco
10 May
Linense
2 : 0
Conil
03 May
Conil
3 : 2
Atl. Onubense (Huelva B)
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Linense

(Away)
13 Sept
Linense
2 : 0
Tomares UD
05 Sept
Chiclana
2 : 1
Linense
10 May
Linense
2 : 0
Conil
03 May
Atletico Central
2 : 1
Linense
26 Apr
Linense
0 : 1
CD Utrera
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ciudad de Lucena 34 22 7 5 69:25 73
2 Dos Hermanas 34 18 6 10 69:39 60
3 Atletico Central 34 15 10 9 36:29 55
4 Bollullos 34 14 11 9 43:35 53
5 AD Ceuta B 34 14 10 10 38:38 52
6 Linense 34 13 13 8 45:32 52
7 Cadiz B 34 14 10 10 50:38 52
8 Conil 34 15 7 12 43:44 52
9 Cordoba B 34 12 8 14 44:44 44
10 CD Utrera 34 12 8 14 40:47 44
11 Pozoblanco 34 10 13 11 39:44 43
12 Chiclana 34 10 13 11 39:45 43
13 San Roque de Lepe 34 10 13 11 39:39 43
14 Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) 34 10 10 14 36:43 40
15 Tomares UD 34 10 9 15 34:46 39
16 Sevilla C 34 10 8 16 34:41 38
17 Castilleja CF 34 6 9 19 28:62 27
18 Coria C.F. 34 4 9 21 24:59 21
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026 (Play Offs)