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Conil vs Mairena

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Tercera Division - Group 10 2013/2014
Conil Logo

Conil

0 - 1
FT
Mairena Logo

Mairena

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Mairena in this Tercera Division - Group 10 2013/2014 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mairena.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Conil
15%
Draws
42%
Mairena
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Conil

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Medium Confidence
  • Conil have won more games recently than Mairena.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 10 2013/2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Conil Clean Sheet 20%
Mairena Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Conil Mairena
Matches Played 40 30
Wins 19 9
Draws 9 7
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.38 0
Goals Conceded 1.38 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Conil vs Mairena
1:0
Sep 17, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Mairena vs Conil
4:0
Mar 22, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Conil vs Mairena
0:1
Nov 3, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Mairena vs Conil
3:0
Jan 19, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Conil vs Mairena
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Conil 32 / 100
Mairena 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Conil Mairena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Conil scored in 78% of their last 40 games.

Mairena let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Conil went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Conil VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Conil

(Home)
10 May
Linense
2 : 0
Conil
03 May
Conil
3 : 2
Atl. Onubense (Huelva B)
26 Apr
Pozoblanco
0 : 1
Conil
19 Apr
Conil
1 : 0
San Roque de Lepe
12 Apr
Castilleja CF
3 : 1
Conil
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Mairena

(Away)
17 May
Mairena
3 : 2
Cadiz B
10 May
Sevilla C
3 : 0
Mairena
01 May
Mairena
3 : 0
Lebrijana
26 Apr
Mairena
5 : 1
Arcos CF
19 Apr
CD Alcala
1 : 0
Mairena
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Betis B 38 23 7 8 70:37 76
2 San Roque de Lepe 38 22 9 7 60:29 75
3 CD Alcala 38 21 9 8 78:43 72
4 AD Ceuta 38 20 9 9 54:33 69
5 Mairena 38 17 10 11 61:54 61
6 CD Gerena 38 15 15 8 64:40 60
7 Cabecense 38 16 10 12 60:45 58
8 CMD San Juan 38 14 14 10 54:53 56
9 Lebrijana 38 16 7 15 51:49 55
10 Conil 38 16 7 15 41:43 55
11 Cadiz B 38 15 7 16 49:46 52
12 Coria C.F. 38 13 12 13 48:53 51
13 Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) 38 14 8 16 57:58 50
14 San Roque de Cadiz 38 14 6 18 56:54 48
15 Sevilla C 38 12 9 17 43:58 45
16 La Palma CF 38 13 5 20 46:61 44
17 Arcos CF 38 11 9 18 36:53 42
18 Pozoblanco 38 12 6 20 37:68 42
19 Xerez CD 38 8 8 22 41:65 32
20 Ayamonte 38 4 1 33 16:80 13
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)