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Conil vs Mairena - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera Division - Group 10 2013/2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mairena in this Tercera Division - Group 10 2013/2014 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mairena.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Conil
15%
Draws
51%
Mairena
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mairena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Conil have won more games recently than Mairena.
  • Model gives Mairena a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 10 2013/2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Conil Clean Sheet 20%
Mairena Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Conil Mairena
Matches Played 40 30
Wins 19 9
Draws 7 7
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.32 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Conil vs Mairena
1:0
Sep 17, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Mairena vs Conil
4:0
Mar 22, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Conil vs Mairena
0:1
Nov 3, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Mairena vs Conil
3:0
Jan 19, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Conil vs Mairena
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Conil 28 / 100
Mairena 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Conil Mairena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mairena Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Conil scored in 78% of their last 40 games.

Mairena let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Conil went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Conil VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Conil

(Home)
04 Oct
Conil
2 : 0
Cordoba B
30 Sept
Recreativo Huelva
2 : 1
Conil
27 Sept
Linense
3 : 1
Conil
20 Sept
Conil
0 : 2
Cadiz B
16 Sept
Conil
1 : 0
Dos Hermanas
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Mairena

(Away)
17 May
Mairena
3 : 2
Cadiz B
10 May
Sevilla C
3 : 0
Mairena
01 May
Mairena
3 : 0
Lebrijana
26 Apr
Mairena
5 : 1
Arcos CF
19 Apr
CD Alcala
1 : 0
Mairena
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Betis B 38 23 7 8 70:37 76
2 San Roque de Lepe 38 22 9 7 60:29 75
3 CD Alcala 38 21 9 8 78:43 72
4 AD Ceuta 38 20 9 9 54:33 69
5 Mairena 38 17 10 11 61:54 61
6 CD Gerena 38 15 15 8 64:40 60
7 Cabecense 38 16 10 12 60:45 58
8 CMD San Juan 38 14 14 10 54:53 56
9 Lebrijana 38 16 7 15 51:49 55
10 Conil 38 16 7 15 41:43 55
11 Cadiz B 38 15 7 16 49:46 52
12 Coria C.F. 38 13 12 13 48:53 51
13 Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) 38 14 8 16 57:58 50
14 San Roque de Cadiz 38 14 6 18 56:54 48
15 Sevilla C 38 12 9 17 43:58 45
16 La Palma CF 38 13 5 20 46:61 44
17 Arcos CF 38 11 9 18 36:53 42
18 Pozoblanco 38 12 6 20 37:68 42
19 Xerez CD 38 8 8 22 41:65 32
20 Ayamonte 38 4 1 33 16:80 13
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)