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Conilon vs Galatas

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Capixaba 2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Capixaba 2012 game between Conilon and Galatas finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Conilon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Conilon
15%
Draws
85%
Galatas
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Galatas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Galatas carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Galatas taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Conilon here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Conilon Clean Sheet 20%
Galatas Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Conilon Galatas
Matches Played 31 33
Wins 8 9
Draws 4 10
Losses 19 14
Goals Scored 1.16 1.09
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 20, 2013 Capixaba
Galatas vs Conilon
1:3
Mar 8, 2013 Capixaba
Conilon vs Galatas
3:0
Apr 1, 2012 Capixaba
Conilon vs Galatas
5:0
Feb 26, 2012 Capixaba
Galatas vs Conilon
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Conilon 10 / 100
Galatas 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Conilon Galatas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GAL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.75 goals per match.

Conilon scored in 65% of their last 31 games.

Galatas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 33 matches.

Galatas lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Galatas
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.5
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Conilon

(Home)
10 May
Conilon
0 : 3
SAO Mateus
04 May
Castelo FC
3 : 0
Conilon
30 Apr
Conilon
0 : 3
Vitoria ES
26 Apr
Linhares Futebol Clube
3 : 0
Conilon
18 Apr
Conilon
0 : 3
Colatina SE
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Galatas

(Away)
20 Sept
Galatas
0 : 2
Serra
14 Sept
Sport-ES
1 : 2
Galatas
05 Sept
Pinheiros
3 : 1
Galatas
30 Aug
Galatas
3 : 2
Linhares Futebol Clube
23 Aug
GEL
1 : 1
Galatas
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rio Branco ES 18 10 3 5 36:23 33
2 Aracruz 18 9 6 3 28:20 33
3 Vitoria ES 18 9 4 5 23:15 31
4 Conilon 18 8 6 4 40:23 30
5 Linhares Futebol Clube 18 9 3 6 27:19 30
6 SAO Mateus 18 8 2 8 17:23 26
7 Real Noroeste 18 6 4 8 21:23 22
8 Galatas 18 5 3 10 15:26 18
9 Colatina SE 18 3 8 7 21:27 17
10 Serra 18 3 1 14 20:49 10
Promotion - Campeonato Capixaba 2012 (Play Offs)