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Conilon vs SAO Mateus - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Capixaba 2012
Conilon Logo

Conilon

3 - 0
FT
SAO Mateus Logo

SAO Mateus

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Capixaba 2012 game between Conilon and SAO Mateus finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Conilon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Conilon
15%
Draws
85%
SAO Mateus
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SAO Mateus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • SAO Mateus have managed 0.82 goals a game lately — Conilon are scoring more at 1.17.
  • 0% — that's where the model lands on Conilon taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Conilon Clean Sheet 20%
SAO Mateus Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Conilon SAO Mateus
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 8 8
Draws 4 5
Losses 18 20
Goals Scored 1.17 0.82
Goals Conceded 1.73 2.15
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2014 Capixaba
Conilon vs SAO Mateus
0:3
Mar 15, 2014 Capixaba
SAO Mateus vs Conilon
1:0
Apr 6, 2013 Capixaba
SAO Mateus vs Conilon
1:1
Feb 27, 2013 Capixaba
Conilon vs SAO Mateus
4:0
Apr 4, 2012 Capixaba
SAO Mateus vs Conilon
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Conilon 49 / 100
SAO Mateus 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Conilon SAO Mateus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Conilon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Conilon scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: SAO Mateus conceded in 79% of 33 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: SAO Mateus has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS SAO Mateus
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 2.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Conilon

(Home)
10 May
Conilon
0 : 3
SAO Mateus
04 May
Castelo FC
3 : 0
Conilon
30 Apr
Conilon
0 : 3
Vitoria ES
26 Apr
Linhares Futebol Clube
3 : 0
Conilon
18 Apr
Conilon
0 : 3
Colatina SE
Page 1 of 6

SAO Mateus

(Away)
26 Oct
CTE Colatina
0 : 3
SAO Mateus
19 Oct
SAO Mateus
0 : 6
Linhares Futebol Clube
16 Oct
Pinheiros
5 : 0
SAO Mateus
03 Oct
SAO Mateus
0 : 6
Vilavelhense
28 Sept
SAO Mateus
1 : 5
CTE Colatina
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rio Branco ES 18 10 3 5 36:23 33
2 Aracruz 18 9 6 3 28:20 33
3 Vitoria ES 18 9 4 5 23:15 31
4 Conilon 18 8 6 4 40:23 30
5 Linhares Futebol Clube 18 9 3 6 27:19 30
6 SAO Mateus 18 8 2 8 17:23 26
7 Real Noroeste 18 6 4 8 21:23 22
8 Galatas 18 5 3 10 15:26 18
9 Colatina SE 18 3 8 7 21:27 17
10 Serra 18 3 1 14 20:49 10
Promotion - Campeonato Capixaba 2012 (Play Offs)