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Conilon vs Serra - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Capixaba 2012
Conilon Logo

Conilon

4 - 0
FT
Serra Logo

Serra

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Conilon in this Campeonato Capixaba 2012 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Conilon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Conilon
15%
Draws
85%
Serra
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Serra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Serra lately — more wins on the board than Conilon.
  • Serra are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Conilon Clean Sheet 20%
Serra Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Conilon Serra
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 15
Draws 4 3
Losses 18 11
Goals Scored 1.17 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.73 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 17, 2012 Capixaba
Conilon vs Serra
4:0
Feb 4, 2012 Capixaba
Serra vs Conilon
2:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Conilon 10 / 100
Serra 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Conilon Serra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Serra Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.50 goals as a typical output.

Conilon scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Serra let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Serra's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Serra
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Conilon

(Home)
10 May
Conilon
0 : 3
SAO Mateus
04 May
Castelo FC
3 : 0
Conilon
30 Apr
Conilon
0 : 3
Vitoria ES
26 Apr
Linhares Futebol Clube
3 : 0
Conilon
18 Apr
Conilon
0 : 3
Colatina SE
Page 1 of 6

Serra

(Away)
06 Jun
Rio Branco ES
1 : 0
Serra
30 May
Serra
1 : 1
Porto Vitoria
24 May
Rio Branco-VN
1 : 0
Serra
20 May
Vitoria ES
3 : 2
Serra
09 May
Serra
2 : 3
Vilavelhense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rio Branco ES 18 10 3 5 36:23 33
2 Aracruz 18 9 6 3 28:20 33
3 Vitoria ES 18 9 4 5 23:15 31
4 Conilon 18 8 6 4 40:23 30
5 Linhares Futebol Clube 18 9 3 6 27:19 30
6 SAO Mateus 18 8 2 8 17:23 26
7 Real Noroeste 18 6 4 8 21:23 22
8 Galatas 18 5 3 10 15:26 18
9 Colatina SE 18 3 8 7 21:27 17
10 Serra 18 3 1 14 20:49 10
Promotion - Campeonato Capixaba 2012 (Play Offs)