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Connahs Q. vs Grange Harlequins

Wales Wales

Premier 2005/2006
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Connahs Q. play Grange Harlequins in the Premier 2005/2006. Connahs Q. are favorites here. Recently, Connahs Q. averaged 1.87 goals scored and 0.93 conceded. Grange Harlequins averaged 1.1 goals scored and 2.8 conceded. In past meetings, Connahs Q. won 2, Grange Harlequins won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 22, 2006 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.79 for Connahs Q. and 1.13 for Grange Harlequins. This points to a Connahs Q. double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Connahs Q.
20%
Draws
19%
Grange Harlequins
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Connahs Q.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

89% / Very High Confidence
  • Connahs Q. picked up more points recently compared to Grange Harlequins.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.79 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 65%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Over 3.5 Goals 39%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%
Connahs Q. Clean Sheet 21%
Grange Harlequins Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 73%
Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Connahs Q. Grange Harlequins
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 7
Draws 9 3
Losses 5 20
Goals Scored 1.87 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.93 2.8

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2006 Cymru Premier
Connahs Q. vs Grange Harlequins
1:0
Dec 17, 2005 Cymru Premier
Grange Harlequins vs Connahs Q.
1:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Connahs Q. 59 / 100
Grange Harlequins 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Connahs Q. Grange Harlequins

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Connahs Q. Win (1)
Secondary Pick Connahs Q. & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.3%
1.89
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.69
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Connahs Q. attacking → ← attacking Grange Harlequins

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Connahs Q. scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Grange Harlequins let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Connahs Q. went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Grange Harlequins lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

57 Points in last 5 24
2.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1TNS34275287:1786
2Llanelli34215864:2868
3Rhyl341810665:3064
4Carmarthen Town341761162:4257
5Port Talbot341511847:3056
6Welshpool341591059:4854
7Aberystwyth3414101059:4852
8Haverfordwest341214849:3650
9Bangor City341431751:5445
10Caersws FC3411121144:5645
11Porthmadog341281457:5944
12Connahs Q.341081636:4638
13Caernarfon349101547:5537
14Newtown341061842:6136
15Cefn Druids347111642:5832
16Airbus UK Broughton FC34881835:6032
17Cwmbran Town34881842:7332
18Grange Harlequins34442623:11016