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Conquense vs Ilicitano

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Agullo Sanchez V.
62' Event
Piera J.

AI Match Summary

Ilicitano in this Segunda RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ilicitano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Conquense
20%
Draws
28%
Ilicitano
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Conquense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Conquense have won more games recently than Ilicitano.
  • Conquense are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Conquense Clean Sheet 68%
Ilicitano Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Conquense Ilicitano
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 11
Draws 7 7
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.48 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Conquense vs Ilicitano
0:2
Jan 3, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Ilicitano vs Conquense
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Conquense Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Ilicitano Compare

Top Goalscorer Agullo Sanchez V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Piera J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Conquense 95 / 100
Ilicitano 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Conquense Ilicitano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Conquense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ilicitano let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Conquense has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Conquense scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Conquense VS Ilicitano
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Conquense

(Home)
27 Sept
Navalcarnero
1 : 3
Conquense
20 Sept
Conquense
1 : 0
Salamanca CF UDS
13 Sept
Gimnastica Segoviana
1 : 2
Conquense
06 Sept
Conquense
2 : 2
Getafe B
29 Aug
Conquense
4 : 1
Guadalajara
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Ilicitano

(Away)
27 Sept
Yeclano
1 : 0
Ilicitano
20 Sept
Ilicitano
1 : 0
Pena Deportiva
13 Sept
Ciudad Cieza
1 : 0
Ilicitano
06 Sept
Lorca Deportiva
1 : 1
Ilicitano
22 Aug
Albacete B
0 : 1
Ilicitano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rayo Majadahonda 34 20 10 4 52:23 70
2 San Sebastian Reyes 34 21 7 6 51:27 70
3 Conquense 34 16 12 6 42:30 60
4 Getafe B 34 16 9 9 55:35 57
5 CD Coria 34 16 9 9 50:38 57
6 RSD Alcala 34 14 9 11 42:39 51
7 Tenerife B 34 15 5 14 57:53 50
8 Orihuela 34 12 10 12 45:43 46
9 CF Intercity 34 11 10 13 42:45 43
10 Navalcarnero 34 11 10 13 40:42 43
11 Las Palmas B 34 11 9 14 42:45 42
12 Ilicitano 34 10 11 13 51:56 41
13 Real Madrid C 34 11 7 16 42:45 40
14 Quintanar del Rey 34 11 6 17 36:43 39
15 CF Fuenlabrada 34 9 10 15 35:44 37
16 Colonia Moscardo 34 9 7 18 37:57 34
17 Socuellamos 34 7 10 17 34:55 31
18 Rayo Vallecano B 34 9 3 22 30:63 30
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)