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Conquense vs Ilicitano

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Agullo Sanchez V.
62' Event
Piera J.

AI Match Summary

Ilicitano in this Segunda RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ilicitano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Conquense
20%
Draws
30%
Ilicitano
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Conquense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Very High Confidence
  • Conquense have won more games recently than Ilicitano.
  • Conquense are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Conquense Clean Sheet 68%
Ilicitano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Conquense Ilicitano
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 9
Draws 10 8
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 1.25 1.38
Goals Conceded 1 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Conquense vs Ilicitano
0:2
Jan 3, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Ilicitano vs Conquense
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Conquense Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Ilicitano Compare

Top Goalscorer Agullo Sanchez V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Piera J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Conquense 77 / 100
Ilicitano 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Conquense Ilicitano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CON Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ilicitano let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Conquense scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Conquense went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Conquense VS Ilicitano
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Conquense

(Home)
01 Aug
Conquense
1 : 0
Rayo Majadahonda
31 May
Conquense
0 : 2
UD Ourense
24 May
UD Ourense
1 : 0
Conquense
17 May
Conquense
0 : 0
Xerez CD
09 May
Xerez CD
1 : 1
Conquense
Page 1 of 6

Ilicitano

(Away)
05 Aug
UD Ibiza
3 : 1
Ilicitano
03 May
Ilicitano
1 : 3
Quintanar del Rey
26 Apr
CD Coria
4 : 0
Ilicitano
19 Apr
Ilicitano
0 : 1
Rayo Majadahonda
12 Apr
Tenerife B
1 : 3
Ilicitano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rayo Majadahonda 34 20 10 4 52:23 70
2 San Sebastian Reyes 34 21 7 6 51:27 70
3 Conquense 34 16 12 6 42:30 60
4 Getafe B 34 16 9 9 55:35 57
5 CD Coria 34 16 9 9 50:38 57
6 RSD Alcala 34 14 9 11 42:39 51
7 Tenerife B 34 15 5 14 57:53 50
8 Orihuela 34 12 10 12 45:43 46
9 CF Intercity 34 11 10 13 42:45 43
10 Navalcarnero 34 11 10 13 40:42 43
11 Las Palmas B 34 11 9 14 42:45 42
12 Ilicitano 34 10 11 13 51:56 41
13 Real Madrid C 34 11 7 16 42:45 40
14 Quintanar del Rey 34 11 6 17 36:43 39
15 CF Fuenlabrada 34 9 10 15 35:44 37
16 Colonia Moscardo 34 9 7 18 37:57 34
17 Socuellamos 34 7 10 17 34:55 31
18 Rayo Vallecano B 34 9 3 22 30:63 30
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)