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Conquense vs Torrijos

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Yoshimura Y.
79' Event
Recuenco M.
90' Event
Fernandez A.

AI Match Summary

Conquense in this Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Conquense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Conquense
30%
Draws
32%
Torrijos
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Conquense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Conquense have won more games recently than Torrijos.
  • Win probability leans Conquense's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 45%
Over 2.5 Goals 17%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Conquense Clean Sheet 68%
Torrijos Clean Sheet 24%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Conquense Torrijos
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 19 8
Draws 8 10
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.58 0.83
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 0.42 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Torrijos vs Conquense
0:4
Dec 3, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Conquense vs Torrijos
3:0
Mar 5, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Torrijos vs Conquense
1:0
Oct 30, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Conquense vs Torrijos
0:0
Apr 9, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Conquense vs Torrijos
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Conquense Compare

Top Goalscorer Yoshimura Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Recuenco M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.32
Avg xA / game 0.21

Torrijos Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Conquense 59 / 100
Torrijos 25 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Conquense Torrijos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Conquense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Conquense's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Conquense has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Torrijos has conceded goals in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Conquense VS Torrijos
0.63 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.2
50% Over 1.5 40%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Conquense

(Home)
27 Sept
Navalcarnero
1 : 3
Conquense
20 Sept
Conquense
1 : 0
Salamanca CF UDS
13 Sept
Gimnastica Segoviana
1 : 2
Conquense
06 Sept
Conquense
2 : 2
Getafe B
29 Aug
Conquense
4 : 1
Guadalajara
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Torrijos

(Away)
27 Sept
Torrijos
2 : 0
Quintanar del Rey
20 Sept
Socuellamos
1 : 1
Torrijos
13 Sept
Torrijos
1 : 0
CD Tarancon
05 Sept
CD Guadalajara B
0 : 1
Torrijos
25 Aug
Torrijos
0 : 0
CDE Madrid
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Conquense 34 21 10 3 57:18 73
2 Cazalegas 34 17 8 9 48:35 59
3 Toledo 34 16 10 8 47:25 58
4 Socuellamos 34 15 13 6 48:28 58
5 Quintanar del Rey 34 16 9 9 46:29 57
6 Puertollano C.F. 34 15 11 8 48:33 56
7 Villarrubia 34 15 10 9 36:31 55
8 CD Tarancon 34 11 14 9 38:31 47
9 Albacete B 34 12 10 12 47:49 46
10 Azuqueca 34 10 11 13 40:46 41
11 Villacanas 34 10 11 13 34:36 41
12 Villarrobledo 34 10 11 13 28:37 41
13 Marchamalo 34 10 9 15 27:38 39
14 Huracan de Balazote 34 8 15 11 35:47 39
15 La Solana 34 10 9 15 34:39 39
16 Torrijos 34 5 13 16 23:45 28
17 Tomelloso 34 5 11 18 24:55 26
18 San Clemente 34 4 7 23 28:66 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2023/2024 (Play Offs)