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Conquista FC vs Cajazeiras

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2 2018
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AI Match Summary

The Baiano 2 2018 game between Conquista FC and Cajazeiras finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Conquista FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Conquista FC
17%
Draws
70%
Cajazeiras
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Cajazeiras

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Conquista FC haven't matched Cajazeiras's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Cajazeiras a 70% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 49%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Conquista FC Clean Sheet 12%
Cajazeiras Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Conquista FC Cajazeiras
Matches Played 9 30
Wins 3 11
Draws 3 11
Losses 3 8
Goals Scored 0.6 1.5
Goals Conceded 2 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.60 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2018 Baiano 2
Cajazeiras vs Conquista FC
4:0
Mar 17, 2018 Baiano 2
Conquista FC vs Cajazeiras
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Conquista FC 14 / 100
Cajazeiras 67 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Conquista FC Cajazeiras

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAJ Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Conquista FC found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (9 games).

Defensive concern: Cajazeiras conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Conquista FC stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Conquista FC VS Cajazeiras
0.6 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 0.63
60% Over 1.5 63%
60% Over 2.5 50%
60% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Conquista FC

(Home)
05 May
Cajazeiras
4 : 0
Conquista FC
28 Apr
Galicia
2 : 2
Conquista FC
22 Apr
Conquista FC
0 : 1
Colo Colo
14 Apr
Alagoinhas
3 : 1
Conquista FC
07 Apr
Conquista FC
1 : 1
Alagoinhas
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Cajazeiras

(Away)
12 May
Cajazeiras
0 : 0
UNIRB
05 May
Canaa EC
2 : 2
Cajazeiras
27 Apr
EC Olimpia
3 : 1
Cajazeiras
21 Apr
Cajazeiras
1 : 3
Doce Mel
14 Apr
Cajazeiras
4 : 0
Galicia
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Alagoinhas1053217:718
2Cajazeiras1053215:918
3Colo Colo1052314:817
4Conquista FC933312:1512
5Teixeira de Freitas932410:1011
6Galicia101188:274
Promotion - Baiano 2 2018 (Play Offs)