Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Constancia vs Alcudia

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Horrach B.
41' Event
Ferrer M.
47' Event
Ferrer M.

AI Match Summary

Constancia in this Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Constancia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Constancia
30%
Draws
41%
Alcudia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Alcudia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Constancia have won more games recently than Alcudia.
  • 41% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Constancia Clean Sheet 17%
Alcudia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Constancia Alcudia
Matches Played 34 35
Wins 19 16
Draws 7 6
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.76 1.6
Goals Conceded 0.76 1.49
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Constancia vs Alcudia
5:0
Oct 25, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Alcudia vs Constancia
1:0
May 3, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Constancia vs Alcudia
5:2
Dec 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Alcudia vs Constancia
1:1
Jan 27, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Constancia vs Alcudia
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Constancia Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferrer M.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Horrach B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Alcudia Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Constancia 36 / 100
Alcudia 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Constancia Alcudia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alcudia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Constancia found the back of the net in 88% of recent matches (34 games).

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Alcudia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 35 matches.

Solid form: Constancia remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Constancia VS Alcudia
2.38 Goals Scored 2
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Constancia

(Home)
20 Sept
Cardassar
1 : 0
Constancia
13 Sept
Santanyi
1 : 1
Constancia
05 Sept
Constancia
3 : 0
Arenal
24 May
Pena Deportiva
2 : 1
Constancia
17 May
Constancia
1 : 1
Pena Deportiva
Page 1 of 7

Alcudia

(Away)
19 Sept
Alcudia
1 : 2
Santanyi
12 Sept
Arenal
1 : 2
Alcudia
06 Sept
Alcudia
5 : 0
Inter Ibiza
10 May
Mercadal
3 : 2
Alcudia
03 May
Alcudia
1 : 1
Binissalem
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mallorca B 34 26 6 2 105:22 84
2 Manacor 34 24 5 5 71:39 77
3 Pena Deportiva 34 20 8 6 69:30 68
4 Constancia 34 19 5 10 62:29 62
5 Llosetense 34 16 10 8 59:40 58
6 Formentera 34 13 13 8 40:29 52
7 Inter Ibiza 34 15 5 14 42:43 50
8 Mercadal 34 15 4 15 31:45 49
9 Cardassar 34 12 8 14 38:55 44
10 Platges de Calvia 34 12 6 16 41:43 42
11 Binissalem 34 10 11 13 26:34 41
12 Santanyi 34 11 8 15 43:58 41
13 Alcudia 34 11 5 18 37:62 38
14 CD Son Cladera 34 11 5 18 41:63 38
15 Portmany 34 8 6 20 25:50 30
16 Collerense 34 6 10 18 41:64 28
17 Felanitx 34 5 11 18 32:62 26
18 Rotlet Molinar 34 5 8 21 34:69 23
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 (Play Offs)