Sport Picks
Match Events
16'
16'
Horrach B.
30'
30'
Duran I.
36'
36'
Gonzalez G.
AI Match Summary
Constancia in this Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Constancia.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
20%
34%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Constancia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Constancia lately — more wins on the board than Collerense.
- Win probability leans Constancia's way, sitting at 60%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Constancia Clean Sheet 68%
Collerense Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Constancia | Collerense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 16 | 5 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 6 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.93 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.75 | 1.87 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.31 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 19, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Constancia vs Collerense
4:0
Dec 13, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Collerense vs Constancia
1:1
Mar 22, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Constancia vs Collerense
1:1
Nov 9, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Collerense vs Constancia
2:2
Mar 23, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Constancia vs Collerense
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Constancia Compare
Top Goalscorer Horrach B.
1 Goals Assists Leader Gonzalez G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16
Collerense Compare
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Constancia 68 / 100
Collerense 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Constancia Collerense
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Constancia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Constancia scored in 93% of their last 28 games.
Collerense let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Constancia stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Constancia VS Collerense
2.63 Goals Scored 1.88
0.5 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Constancia
(Home) 13 Sept
Santanyi
1 : 1 Constancia
05 Sept
Constancia
3 : 0 Arenal
24 May
Pena Deportiva
2 : 1 Constancia
17 May
Constancia
1 : 1 Pena Deportiva
10 May
Constancia
3 : 0 Inter Ibiza
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Constancia
3 : 0 Arenal
17 May
Constancia
1 : 1 Pena Deportiva
10 May
Constancia
3 : 0 Inter Ibiza
19 Apr
Constancia
4 : 0 Collerense
01 Apr
Constancia
3 : 0 Santanyi
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Collerense
(Away) 29 Aug
Collerense
1 : 2 Santanyi
10 May
Pena Deportiva
2 : 0 Collerense
02 May
Collerense
2 : 1 Portmany
25 Apr
Rotlet Molinar
2 : 5 Collerense
19 Apr
Constancia
4 : 0 Collerense
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10 May
Pena Deportiva
2 : 0 Collerense
25 Apr
Rotlet Molinar
2 : 5 Collerense
19 Apr
Constancia
4 : 0 Collerense
02 Apr
CD Son Cladera
3 : 2 Collerense
21 Mar
Mallorca B
2 : 0 Collerense
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mallorca B | 34 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 105:22 | 84 |
| 2 | Manacor | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 71:39 | 77 |
| 3 | Pena Deportiva | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 69:30 | 68 |
| 4 | Constancia | 34 | 19 | 5 | 10 | 62:29 | 62 |
| 5 | Llosetense | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 59:40 | 58 |
| 6 | Formentera | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 40:29 | 52 |
| 7 | Inter Ibiza | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 42:43 | 50 |
| 8 | Mercadal | 34 | 15 | 4 | 15 | 31:45 | 49 |
| 9 | Cardassar | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 38:55 | 44 |
| 10 | Platges de Calvia | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 41:43 | 42 |
| 11 | Binissalem | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 26:34 | 41 |
| 12 | Santanyi | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 43:58 | 41 |
| 13 | Alcudia | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 37:62 | 38 |
| 14 | CD Son Cladera | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 41:63 | 38 |
| 15 | Portmany | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 25:50 | 30 |
| 16 | Collerense | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 41:64 | 28 |
| 17 | Felanitx | 34 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 32:62 | 26 |
| 18 | Rotlet Molinar | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 34:69 | 23 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
