Sport Picks
Constancia vs La Muela
Spain
Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2009/2010 
AI Match Summary
La Muela in this Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2009/2010 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Constancia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Constancia lately — more wins on the board than La Muela.
- 39% — that's where the model lands on Constancia taking it.
- Constancia have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor La Muela, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Constancia Clean Sheet 20%
La Muela Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Constancia | La Muela |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 16 | 7 |
| Draws | 6 | 11 |
| Losses | 6 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.89 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.71 | 1.4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.73 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 6, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Promotion Play Offs
La Muela vs Constancia
1:1
May 30, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Promotion Play Offs
Constancia vs La Muela
0:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Constancia 67 / 100
La Muela 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Constancia La Muela
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Constancia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Constancia scored in 89% of their last 28 games.
La Muela has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.
H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.
Constancia has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Constancia VS -
2.25 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Constancia
(Home) 20 Sept
Cardassar
1 : 0 Constancia
13 Sept
Santanyi
1 : 1 Constancia
05 Sept
Constancia
3 : 0 Arenal
24 May
Pena Deportiva
2 : 1 Constancia
17 May
Constancia
1 : 1 Pena Deportiva
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05 Sept
Constancia
3 : 0 Arenal
17 May
Constancia
1 : 1 Pena Deportiva
10 May
Constancia
3 : 0 Inter Ibiza
19 Apr
Constancia
4 : 0 Collerense
01 Apr
Constancia
3 : 0 Santanyi
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La Muela
(Away) 15 May
La Muela
1 : 0 Caudal Deportivo
08 May
Zamora
3 : 1 La Muela
01 May
La Muela
0 : 1 Leonesa
24 Apr
Guijuelo
2 : 2 La Muela
17 Apr
La Muela
1 : 3 Lemona
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08 May
Zamora
3 : 1 La Muela
24 Apr
Guijuelo
2 : 2 La Muela
10 Apr
Alaves
2 : 2 La Muela
19 Mar
Pena
2 : 0 La Muela
06 Mar
Gijon B
0 : 0 La Muela
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
Quarter-finals
Almeria B 4
Pena Deportiva 3
TBD -
Burgos CF -
Azuqueca 2
Universidad Oviedo 1
TBD -
L Hospitalet -
Coruxo FC 5
Parla 3
TBD -
Oyonesa -
Amorebieta 4
El Palo 2
TBD -
La Roda -
Extremadura UD 1
Novelda CF 1
Ferriolense 0
Mairena 2
Real Avila 3
UM Escobedo 2
TBD -
Mancha -
Santboia 2
Arandina 1
TBD -
Corralejo -
Llanes 4
Valladolid Promesas 3
TBD -
Tudelano -
Arroyo 3
Alfaro 5
UCAM Murcia 1
Cerceda 4
CD Ourense 1
Constancia 2
CD Marino 0
La Muela 3
Getafe B 3
Zaragoza B 1
TBD -
Futbol Club Jumilla -
Iruna 1
Illescas 6
Anguiano 0
Portugalete 2
Ayamonte 6
Cirbonero 4
SD Ejea 1
Alzira 1
CF Talavera 1
Reus FC Reddis 2
Villarreal C 1
Jerez CF 1
Elgoibar 0
Marino De Luanco 3
Marinaleda 1
Las Palmas B 4
Prat 0
Pena 2
Bezana 1
Motril 2
Lorca Deportiva 2
Haro Deportivo 3
TBD -
SD Noja -
CD Tropezon 2
Pajara Playas 4
Trival Valderas 3
Yeclano 5
Semi-finals
Almeria B 2
Burgos CF 1
Azuqueca 2
L Hospitalet 3
Coruxo FC 3
Oyonesa 2
Amorebieta 2
La Roda 3
Extremadura UD 2
Mairena 2
Real Avila 0
Mancha 2
Santboia 1
Corralejo 1
Llanes 2
Tudelano 8
Alfaro 1
Cerceda 3
Constancia 1
La Muela 2
Getafe B 2
Futbol Club Jumilla 1
Illescas 1
Portugalete 2
Ayamonte 0
Alzira 1
Reus FC Reddis 2
Jerez CF 2
Marino De Luanco 3
Las Palmas B 6
Pena 3
Motril 3
Haro Deportivo 3
SD Noja 2
Pajara Playas 1
Yeclano 2
Final
Almeria B 1
L Hospitalet 1
Coruxo FC 3
La Roda 1
Extremadura UD 4
Mancha 2
Santboia 4
Tudelano 3
Cerceda 2
La Muela 3
Getafe B 3
Portugalete 2
Alzira 6
Jerez CF 2
Las Palmas B 2
Pena 3
Haro Deportivo 1
Yeclano 2
