Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2024/2025

Constancia

1 - 0

PE Sant Jordi

Our Tip

Match Events

36'

Giaquinto A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2024/2025 game between Constancia and PE Sant Jordi finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Constancia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Constancia

Draws

PE Sant Jordi

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Constancia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Constancia come out ahead of PE Sant Jordi on wins alone.
Constancia are the model's pick here, at 90%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 0%

Over 4.5 Goals 0%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%

Constancia Clean Sheet 20%

PE Sant Jordi Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Constancia	PE Sant Jordi
Matches Played	40	30
Wins	23	8
Draws	6	6
Losses	11	16
Goals Scored	0.88	0
Goals Conceded	0.88	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11

PE Sant Jordi vs Constancia

Possession: 44% - 53% Cards: 2 - 3

1:2

Jan 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11

Constancia vs PE Sant Jordi

Possession: 45% - 54% Cards: 2 - 0

1:0

Feb 4, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 11

Constancia vs PE Sant Jordi

Possession: 42% - 48% Cards: 1 - 3

2:0

Oct 1, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 11

PE Sant Jordi vs Constancia

Possession: 45% - 57% Cards: 2 - 1

2:2

Jan 30, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 11

Constancia vs PE Sant Jordi

Possession: 41% - 54% Cards: 3 - 1

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Constancia Compare

Top Goalscorer Giaquinto A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.44

PE Sant Jordi Compare

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Constancia 85 / 100

PE Sant Jordi 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Constancia PE Sant Jordi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CON Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Constancia scored in 88% of their last 40 games.

PE Sant Jordi has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Constancia stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Constancia VS -

0.88 Goals Scored 0

0.88 Goals Conceded 0

50% Over 1.5 0%

25% Over 2.5 0%

0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	UD Poblense	34	22	6	6	47:17	72
2	Constancia	34	18	13	3	55:31	67
3	Formentera	34	19	9	6	68:34	66
4	Porreres	34	17	11	6	51:32	62
5	Penya Independent	34	17	7	10	59:34	58
6	Platges de Calvia	34	14	12	8	51:37	54
7	Manacor	34	13	12	9	54:36	51
8	Alcudia	34	13	8	13	51:53	47
9	Binissalem	34	13	8	13	35:34	47
10	Llosetense	34	12	8	14	47:45	44
11	Santanyi	34	10	13	11	40:45	43
12	Mercadal	34	10	10	14	40:43	40
13	Felanitx	34	10	10	14	33:50	40
14	Collerense	34	9	12	13	42:48	39
15	Portmany	34	8	13	13	43:51	37
16	PE Sant Jordi	34	8	6	20	30:52	30
17	Campos	34	4	8	22	31:75	20
18	Migjorn	34	4	4	26	22:82	16