Sport Picks
Constancia vs Pena Deportiva
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Pena Deportiva haven't matched Constancia's recent run of results.
- Constancia are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- Constancia have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Constancia, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Constancia | Pena Deportiva |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 16 | 13 |
| Draws | 6 | 10 |
| Losses | 7 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.86 | 1.68 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.76 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Constancia Compare
Pena Deportiva Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Constancia's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Pena Deportiva has conceded goals in 77% of their last 31 outings.
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Constancia remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
