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Constancia vs Santanyi

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Horrach B.
69' Event
Sogorb C.
82' Event
Ferrer M.

AI Match Summary

Constancia in this Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Constancia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Constancia
35%
Draws
25%
Santanyi
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Constancia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Constancia lately — more wins on the board than Santanyi.
  • Constancia are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Constancia Clean Sheet 68%
Santanyi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Constancia Santanyi
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 16 9
Draws 6 8
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 1.9 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.79 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Santanyi vs Constancia
1:1
Apr 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Constancia vs Santanyi
3:0
Nov 22, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Santanyi vs Constancia
0:2
Apr 26, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Santanyi vs Constancia
2:3
Dec 14, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Constancia vs Santanyi
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Constancia Compare

Top Goalscorer Horrach B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sogorb C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Santanyi Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Constancia 95 / 100
Santanyi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Constancia Santanyi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Constancia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Constancia found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (29 games).

Santanyi let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Constancia went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Constancia VS Santanyi
2.5 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Constancia

(Home)
13 Sept
Santanyi
1 : 1
Constancia
05 Sept
Constancia
3 : 0
Arenal
24 May
Pena Deportiva
2 : 1
Constancia
17 May
Constancia
1 : 1
Pena Deportiva
10 May
Constancia
3 : 0
Inter Ibiza
Page 1 of 6

Santanyi

(Away)
13 Sept
Santanyi
1 : 1
Constancia
06 Sept
Cardassar
0 : 0
Santanyi
30 Aug
Andratx
2 : 1
Santanyi
29 Aug
Collerense
1 : 2
Santanyi
22 Aug
Santanyi
0 : 2
Porreres
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mallorca B 34 26 6 2 105:22 84
2 Manacor 34 24 5 5 71:39 77
3 Pena Deportiva 34 20 8 6 69:30 68
4 Constancia 34 19 5 10 62:29 62
5 Llosetense 34 16 10 8 59:40 58
6 Formentera 34 13 13 8 40:29 52
7 Inter Ibiza 34 15 5 14 42:43 50
8 Mercadal 34 15 4 15 31:45 49
9 Cardassar 34 12 8 14 38:55 44
10 Platges de Calvia 34 12 6 16 41:43 42
11 Binissalem 34 10 11 13 26:34 41
12 Santanyi 34 11 8 15 43:58 41
13 Alcudia 34 11 5 18 37:62 38
14 CD Son Cladera 34 11 5 18 41:63 38
15 Portmany 34 8 6 20 25:50 30
16 Collerense 34 6 10 18 41:64 28
17 Felanitx 34 5 11 18 32:62 26
18 Rotlet Molinar 34 5 8 21 34:69 23
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 (Play Offs)