Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Constantine vs ES Setif

Algeria Algeria

Algeria Cup
Fri, Jan 16, 2026
2 - 1
03:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Hamidi K.
45' Event
Dib B.
(Penalty)
111' Event
Bouzekri M.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Constantine
20%
Draws
51%
ES Setif
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: ES Setif

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Constantine have won more games recently than ES Setif.
  • Win probability leans ES Setif's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Constantine have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Constantine, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Constantine Clean Sheet 13%
ES Setif Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Constantine ES Setif
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 14 13
Draws 8 6
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.4 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.09
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Ligue 1
ES Setif vs Constantine
5:1
Feb 13, 2026 Ligue 1
Constantine vs ES Setif
2:0
Jan 16, 2026 Algeria Cup
Constantine vs ES Setif
2:1
Sep 11, 2025 Ligue 1
ES Setif vs Constantine
2:1
May 15, 2025 Ligue 1
ES Setif vs Constantine
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Constantine Compare

Top Goalscorer Bouzekri M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

ES Setif Compare

Top Goalscorer Hamidi K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Constantine 10 / 100
ES Setif 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Constantine ES Setif

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ES Setif Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Constantine found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

ES Setif has conceded goals in 69% of their last 32 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Constantine has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Constantine VS ES Setif
2 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Constantine

(Home)
19 Sept
ES Setif
5 : 1
Constantine
12 Sept
Constantine
3 : 0
ASO Chlef
05 Sept
CR Temouchent
1 : 1
Constantine
05 Jun
Saoura
3 : 1
Constantine
19 May
Constantine
2 : 2
Khenchela
Page 1 of 6

ES Setif

(Away)
19 Sept
ES Setif
5 : 1
Constantine
11 Sept
CR Belouizdad
1 : 0
ES Setif
03 Sept
ES Setif
0 : 1
ES Ben Aknoun
20 Aug
ES Setif
2 : 1
Magra
05 Jun
Paradou
0 : 2
ES Setif
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
CA Batna 2
Annaba 1
Kolea 1
Bordj Menail 0
Paradou 3
Adrar 0
USF Constantine 4
Metlili Chaamba 2
Frenda 2
Mila 1
ASO Chlef 1
Sidi Abdelmoumen 0
MB Barika 1
Marsa El Hadjadj 0
Saida 3
Telaghema 0
MO Bejaia 1
Harrach 2
Kabylie 7
MB Hassi Messaoud 0
Magra 0
USM Alger 1
MO Constantine 3
Kais 1
Sidi Ali Boussidi 0
Arba 1
Oran 1
Mostaganem 2
Bethioua 0
Saoura 1
Khroub 2
Olympique Akbou 0
Constantine 4
JS El Biar 1
CR Temouchent 1
Hamaissa 0
Bechar Djedid 4
GC Mascara 3
ES Setif 1
Beni Thamou 0
Tessala 0
Bejaia 1
Widad Adabi de Boufarik 3
Naama 0
Beni Oulbane 0
Amal Bou Saada 1
Hussein Dey 3
Sedrata 0
Wifaq Ain Benian 2
SC Mecheria 1
CR Belouizdad 2
Oued Fodda 1
Ain Kercha 1
Illizi 0
Beni Thour 1
ASM Oran 2
MC Alger 1
El Bayadh 0
Khenchela 1
Rouisset 0
ES Ben Aknoun 2
RA Ain Defla 0
ESF Bir El Ater 2
Kadiria 0
1/16-finals
CA Batna 5
Kolea 1
Paradou 2
USF Constantine 0
Frenda 0
ASO Chlef 1
MB Barika 1
Saida 2
Harrach 1
Kabylie 0
USM Alger 3
MO Constantine 0
Arba 0
Mostaganem 1
Saoura 2
Khroub 0
Constantine 3
CR Temouchent 0
Bechar Djedid 0
ES Setif 4
Bejaia 4
Widad Adabi de Boufarik 1
Amal Bou Saada 0
Hussein Dey 1
Wifaq Ain Benian 1
CR Belouizdad 5
Ain Kercha 0
ASM Oran 2
MC Alger 2
Khenchela 1
ES Ben Aknoun 2
ESF Bir El Ater 0
1/8-finals
CA Batna 4
Paradou 3
ASO Chlef 0
Saida 1
Harrach 2
USM Alger 3
Mostaganem 0
Saoura 2
Constantine 2
ES Setif 1
Bejaia 3
Hussein Dey 0
CR Belouizdad 3
ASM Oran 0
MC Alger 1
ES Ben Aknoun 0
Quarter-finals
CA Batna 1
Saida 0
USM Alger 1
Saoura 0
Constantine 1
Bejaia 0
CR Belouizdad 3
MC Alger 2
Semi-finals
CA Batna 1
USM Alger 3
Constantine 2
CR Belouizdad 3
Final
USM Alger 2
CR Belouizdad 1