Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Constantine vs ES Setif

Algeria Algeria

Ligue 1 Stadium Mohamed Hamlaoui, Constantine
Our Tip

Match Events

57'
Sub
Guenaoui G. In: Dib B.
Out: Guenaoui G.
57'
Sub
Bizimana D. In: L'Ghoul N.
Out: Bizimana D.
62'
Sub
Nkaya W. In: Djahnit A.
Out: Nkaya W.

AI Match Summary

Constantine in this Ligue 1 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Constantine.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Constantine
28%
Draws
50%
ES Setif
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: ES Setif

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Constantine lately — more wins on the board than ES Setif.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on ES Setif taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Constantine here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Constantine Clean Sheet 23%
ES Setif Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Constantine ES Setif
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 13 12
Draws 10 6
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 0.88 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 13, 2026 Ligue 1
Constantine vs ES Setif
2:0
Jan 16, 2026 Algeria Cup
Constantine vs ES Setif
2:1
Sep 11, 2025 Ligue 1
ES Setif vs Constantine
2:1
May 15, 2025 Ligue 1
ES Setif vs Constantine
0:1
Oct 25, 2024 Ligue 1
Constantine vs ES Setif
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Constantine Compare

Top Goalscorer L'Ghoul N.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

ES Setif Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Constantine 24 / 100
ES Setif 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Constantine ES Setif

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SET Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Constantine found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (32 games).

Defensive concern: ES Setif conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Constantine stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Constantine VS ES Setif
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
38% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Constantine

(Home)
05 Jun
Saoura
3 : 1
Constantine
19 May
Constantine
2 : 2
Khenchela
07 May
Paradou
5 : 3
Constantine
24 Apr
Constantine
2 : 3
CR Belouizdad
16 Apr
Constantine
2 : 0
MC Alger
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ES Setif

(Away)
05 Jun
Paradou
0 : 2
ES Setif
20 May
ES Setif
1 : 0
MC Alger
16 May
ES Setif
3 : 1
CR Belouizdad
08 May
Kabylie
5 : 1
ES Setif
17 Apr
ES Setif
3 : 0
Oran
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1MC Alger30205541:1865
2Saoura30167740:2655
3CR Belouizdad301411547:2453
4Oran30147936:3149
5Kabylie301112740:3145
6Olympique Akbou30129934:3145
7Khenchela301281037:3744
8ES Ben Aknoun301110941:3943
9Constantine301110935:3043
10USM Alger30815734:2939
11ES Setif301091133:3639
12Rouisset30991230:3536
13ASO Chlef30971426:3134
14Paradou30732035:5424
15Mostaganem30471918:5219
16El Bayadh302111717:4017
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2026/2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2026/2027 (Main)