Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Constantine vs ES Setif

Algeria Algeria

Ligue 1 2025/2026 Stadium Mohamed Hamlaoui, Constantine
Our Tip

Match Events

57'
Sub
Guenaoui G. In: Dib B.
Out: Guenaoui G.
57'
Sub
Bizimana D. In: L'Ghoul N.
Out: Bizimana D.
62'
Sub
Nkaya W. In: Djahnit A.
Out: Nkaya W.

AI Match Summary

Constantine in this Ligue 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Constantine.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Constantine
20%
Draws
51%
ES Setif
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: ES Setif

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Constantine lately — more wins on the board than ES Setif.
  • 29% — that's where the model lands on Constantine taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Constantine here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Constantine Clean Sheet 68%
ES Setif Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Constantine ES Setif
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 13 11
Draws 8 5
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.39 1.22
Goals Conceded 0.89 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 13, 2026 Ligue 1
Constantine vs ES Setif
2:0
Jan 16, 2026 Algeria Cup
Constantine vs ES Setif
2:1
Sep 11, 2025 Ligue 1
ES Setif vs Constantine
2:1
May 15, 2025 Ligue 1
ES Setif vs Constantine
0:1
Oct 25, 2024 Ligue 1
Constantine vs ES Setif
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Constantine Compare

Top Goalscorer L'Ghoul N.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

ES Setif Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Constantine 50 / 100
ES Setif 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Constantine ES Setif

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Constantine Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Constantine found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: ES Setif conceded in 67% of 27 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Constantine stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Constantine VS ES Setif
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Constantine

(Home)
12 Sept
Constantine
3 : 0
ASO Chlef
05 Sept
CR Temouchent
1 : 1
Constantine
05 Jun
Saoura
3 : 1
Constantine
19 May
Constantine
2 : 2
Khenchela
07 May
Paradou
5 : 3
Constantine
Page 1 of 6

ES Setif

(Away)
11 Sept
CR Belouizdad
1 : 0
ES Setif
03 Sept
ES Setif
0 : 1
ES Ben Aknoun
20 Aug
ES Setif
2 : 1
Magra
05 Jun
Paradou
0 : 2
ES Setif
20 May
ES Setif
1 : 0
MC Alger
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 MC Alger 30 20 5 5 41:18 65
2 Saoura 30 16 7 7 40:26 55
3 CR Belouizdad 30 14 11 5 47:24 53
4 Oran 30 14 7 9 36:31 49
5 Kabylie 30 11 12 7 40:31 45
6 Olympique Akbou 30 12 9 9 34:31 45
7 Khenchela 30 12 8 10 37:37 44
8 ES Ben Aknoun 30 11 10 9 41:39 43
9 Constantine 30 11 10 9 35:30 43
10 USM Alger 30 8 15 7 34:29 39
11 ES Setif 30 10 9 11 33:36 39
12 Rouisset 30 9 9 12 30:35 36
13 ASO Chlef 30 9 7 14 26:31 34
14 Paradou 30 7 3 20 35:54 24
15 Mostaganem 30 4 7 19 18:52 19
16 El Bayadh 30 2 11 17 17:40 17
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Main)