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Constantine vs USM Alger - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Algeria Algeria

Ligue 1
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Constantine host USM Alger in the Ligue 1. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Constantine at 1.43 goals for, 1.27 against; USM Alger at 1.12 for, 0.85 against. Head-to-head, Constantine have won 1 to USM Alger's 1, with 3 draws. They last met on Mar 8, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (0.88 - 1.31) back Constantine to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Constantine
15%
Draws
65%
USM Alger
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: USM Alger

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to USM Alger lately — more wins on the board than Constantine.
  • 65% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Constantine Clean Sheet 18%
USM Alger Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Constantine USM Alger
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 12 13
Draws 8 13
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.43 1.12
Goals Conceded 1.27 0.85
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Ligue 1
USM Alger vs Constantine
0:0
Oct 4, 2025 Ligue 1
Constantine vs USM Alger
1:1
May 11, 2025 Ligue 1
USM Alger vs Constantine
2:1
Apr 9, 2025 CAF Confederation Cup
USM Alger vs Constantine
1:2
Apr 2, 2025 CAF Confederation Cup
Constantine vs USM Alger
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Constantine 36 / 100
USM Alger 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Constantine USM Alger

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick USM Alger Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Constantine found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

USM Alger has conceded goals in 65% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Constantine went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Constantine VS USM Alger
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.38
88% Over 1.5 25%
63% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Constantine

(Home)
23 Oct
Olympique Akbou
3 : 0
Constantine
17 Oct
Constantine
2 : 4
JS El Biar
12 Oct
Khenchela
2 : 0
Constantine
07 Oct
Constantine
4 : 0
Biskra
19 Sept
ES Setif
5 : 1
Constantine
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USM Alger

(Away)
25 Oct
USM Alger
:
Panthers
24 Oct
USM Alger
2 : 2
CR Belouizdad
20 Oct
Panthers
:
USM Alger
13 Oct
USM Alger
1 : 0
Saoura
08 Oct
Rouisset
1 : 0
USM Alger
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Oran 6 4 2 0 5:0 14
2 CR Belouizdad 6 4 2 0 11:7 14
3 Kabylie 6 4 1 1 10:3 13
4 Rouisset 7 4 1 2 7:4 13
5 USM Alger 6 3 2 1 8:5 11
6 Olympique Akbou 6 3 1 2 9:6 10
7 JS El Biar 7 2 2 3 12:11 8
8 CR Temouchent 7 2 2 3 5:8 8
9 MC Alger 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
10 ES Ben Aknoun 6 1 4 1 7:7 7
11 Constantine 7 2 1 4 11:15 7
12 ES Setif 6 1 2 3 7:6 5
13 Khenchela 6 1 2 3 3:6 5
14 ASO Chlef 7 0 4 3 6:11 4
15 Saoura 6 0 3 3 0:6 3
16 Biskra 6 0 2 4 3:12 2
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)