Sport Picks

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Contagem vs Valeriodoce

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3 2023
Sat, Nov 4, 2023
0 - 1
05:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Valeriodoce advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Contagem
35%
Draws
32%
Valeriodoce
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Valeriodoce come out ahead of Contagem on wins alone.
  • Contagem are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Valeriodoce arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Valeriodoce, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Valeriodoce here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Contagem Clean Sheet 20%
Valeriodoce Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Contagem Valeriodoce
Matches Played 30 43
Wins 13 16
Draws 8 18
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.13 1.05
Goals Conceded 0.7 0.84
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 4, 2023 Mineiro 3
Contagem vs Valeriodoce
0:1
Oct 29, 2023 Mineiro 3
Valeriodoce vs Contagem
0:0
Aug 7, 2022 Mineiro 3
Valeriodoce vs Contagem
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Contagem 49 / 100
Valeriodoce 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Contagem Valeriodoce

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Contagem Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Contagem's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Solid form: Contagem remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Valeriodoce's defensive record shows goals conceded in 58% of 43 matches.

Games between these two average 0.67 goals.

Scoring Trends

- VS Valeriodoce
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Contagem

(Home)
03 Nov
Tupynambas
2 : 1
Contagem
26 Oct
Contagem
0 : 0
Tupynambas
19 Oct
Contagem
5 : 0
Boston City
12 Oct
Coimbra Esporte Clube
0 : 0
Contagem
05 Oct
America TO
0 : 1
Contagem
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Valeriodoce

(Away)
26 Jul
Valeriodoce
0 : 1
Villa Nova AC
18 Jul
Villa Nova AC
1 : 1
Valeriodoce
12 Jul
Valeriodoce
1 : 0
Villa Nova AC
05 Jul
Coimbra Esporte Clube
0 : 0
Valeriodoce
01 Jul
Valeriodoce
1 : 0
Democrata SL
Page 1 of 9

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Valeriodoce 1
Contagem 0
Pocos de Caldas 1
America TO 5
Mamore 3
Araxa 2
Coimbra Esporte Clube 1
Guarani-MG 1
Semi-finals
Valeriodoce 4
America TO 3
Mamore 5
Guarani-MG 4
Final
Valeriodoce 2
Mamore 3