Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Contagem vs Valeriodoce

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3 2023
Sat, Nov 4, 2023
0 - 1
05:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Valeriodoce advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Contagem
33%
Draws
27%
Valeriodoce
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Contagem

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Valeriodoce come out ahead of Contagem on wins alone.
  • Contagem are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Valeriodoce arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Valeriodoce, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Valeriodoce here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Contagem Clean Sheet 20%
Valeriodoce Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Contagem Valeriodoce
Matches Played 31 46
Wins 13 20
Draws 9 18
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 0 1.13
Goals Conceded 0 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 4, 2023 Mineiro 3
Contagem vs Valeriodoce
0:1
Oct 29, 2023 Mineiro 3
Valeriodoce vs Contagem
0:0
Aug 7, 2022 Mineiro 3
Valeriodoce vs Contagem
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Contagem 40 / 100
Valeriodoce 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Contagem Valeriodoce

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CON Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Contagem's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Solid form: Contagem remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Valeriodoce's defensive record shows goals conceded in 52% of 46 matches.

Games between these two average 0.67 goals.

Scoring Trends

- VS Valeriodoce
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Contagem

(Home)
03 Nov
Tupynambas
2 : 1
Contagem
26 Oct
Contagem
0 : 0
Tupynambas
19 Oct
Contagem
5 : 0
Boston City
12 Oct
Coimbra Esporte Clube
0 : 0
Contagem
05 Oct
America TO
0 : 1
Contagem
Page 1 of 7

Valeriodoce

(Away)
18 Jul
Villa Nova AC
1 : 1
Valeriodoce
12 Jul
Valeriodoce
1 : 0
Villa Nova AC
05 Jul
Coimbra Esporte Clube
0 : 0
Valeriodoce
01 Jul
Valeriodoce
1 : 0
Democrata SL
28 Jun
Aymores
0 : 1
Valeriodoce
Page 1 of 10

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Valeriodoce1
Contagem0
Pocos de Caldas1
America TO5
Mamore3
Araxa2
Coimbra Esporte Clube1
Guarani-MG1
Semi-finals
Valeriodoce4
America TO3
Mamore5
Guarani-MG4
Final
Valeriodoce2
Mamore3