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Conwy Borough vs Gresford Prediction & H2H Stats

Wales Wales

Cymru North 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Smith S.
47' Event
Williams N.
72' Event
Pickering S.

AI Match Summary

Gresford in this Cymru North 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gresford.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Conwy Borough
15%
Draws
59%
Gresford
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gresford

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Gresford have won more games recently than Conwy Borough.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Gresford taking it.
  • Regular Cymru North 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Conwy Borough Clean Sheet 19%
Gresford Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Conwy Borough Gresford
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 7 10
Draws 6 3
Losses 16 18
Goals Scored 1.28 1.35
Goals Conceded 2.21 2.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 7, 2023 Cymru North
Conwy Borough vs Gresford
1:3
Oct 1, 2022 Cymru North
Gresford vs Conwy Borough
0:1
Oct 30, 2021 Cymru North
Gresford vs Conwy Borough
2:2
Jul 27, 2021 Cymru North
Conwy Borough vs Gresford
0:0
Mar 21, 2020 Cymru North
Conwy Borough vs Gresford
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Conwy Borough Compare

Top Goalscorer Hughes I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

Gresford Compare

Top Goalscorer Smith S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Williams N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Conwy Borough 28 / 100
Gresford 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Conwy Borough Gresford

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gresford Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Gresford conceded in 84% of 31 recent games.

Conwy Borough scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Conwy Borough has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Gresford
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Conwy Borough

(Home)
22 Jun
Mold Alexandra
3 : 0
Conwy Borough
16 Sept
Llanrwst United
2 : 1
Conwy Borough
15 Apr
Ruthin Town
4 : 0
Conwy Borough
07 Apr
Conwy Borough
2 : 1
Holyhead
24 Mar
Llandudno FC
1 : 0
Conwy Borough
Page 1 of 6

Gresford

(Away)
03 Oct
Penrhyncoch
0 : 1
Gresford
26 Sept
Gresford
3 : 1
Rhyl
12 Sept
Guilsfield
1 : 1
Gresford
06 Sept
Gresford
1 : 5
Mold Alexandra
31 Aug
Llanuwchllyn
2 : 0
Gresford
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colwyn Bay 30 27 2 1 101:24 83
2 Holywell Town FC 30 26 1 3 75:22 79
3 Llandudno FC 30 20 6 4 70:23 66
4 Guilsfield 30 17 6 7 58:37 57
5 Ruthin Town 30 16 3 11 48:44 51
6 Prestatyn 30 14 4 12 66:50 46
7 Cefn Druids 30 13 4 13 48:64 43
8 Buckley 30 12 6 12 53:61 42
9 Mold Alexandra 30 10 5 15 41:52 35
10 Gresford 30 10 5 15 32:43 35
11 Porthmadog 30 10 3 17 36:53 33
12 Llanidloes Town 30 7 6 17 42:63 27
13 Chirk AAA FC 30 5 11 14 32:49 26
14 Conwy Borough 30 5 8 17 33:64 23
15 Penrhyncoch 30 3 7 20 31:72 16
16 Holyhead 30 2 9 19 24:69 15
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