Sport Picks

Australia & Oceania

OFC Championship U16 2024

New Zealand U16

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Cook Islands U16 play New Zealand U16 in the OFC Championship U16 2024. New Zealand U16 are favorites here. Recently, Cook Islands U16 averaged 0.64 goals scored and 2.73 conceded. New Zealand U16 averaged 4 goals scored and 0.94 conceded. In past meetings, Cook Islands U16 won 0, New Zealand U16 won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 3, 2024 ended 0:7. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.79 for Cook Islands U16 and 3.45 for New Zealand U16. This points to a New Zealand U16 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Cook Islands U16

15%

Draws

76%

New Zealand U16

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: New Zealand U16

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Cook Islands U16 picked up more points recently compared to New Zealand U16.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.79 vs 3.45 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 76%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 87%

Over 1.5 Goals 86%

Over 2.5 Goals 76%

Over 3.5 Goals 46%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%

Cook Islands U16 Clean Sheet 10%

New Zealand U16 Clean Sheet 18%

First Half Goal 77%

Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Cook Islands U16	New Zealand U16
Matches Played	11	17
Wins	1	14
Draws	2	1
Losses	8	2
Goals Scored	0.64	4
Goals Conceded	2.73	0.94
Expected Goals (xG)	0.71	3.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	3.14	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 3, 2024 OFC Championship U16

Cook Islands U16 vs New Zealand U16

Possession: 55% - 54% Cards: 1 - 2

0:7

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cook Islands U16 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.55

Avg xA / game 0.35

New Zealand U16 Compare

Top Goalscorer Smith C.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Britton W.

2 Ast

Avg xG / game 3.41

Avg xA / game 2.08

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cook Islands U16 10 / 100

New Zealand U16 72 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Cook Islands U16 New Zealand U16

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick New Zealand U16 Win (2)

Secondary Pick New Zealand U16 & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +800%

100.00

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +8.7%

1.43

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Cook Islands U16 attacking → ← attacking New Zealand U16

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cook Islands U16 scored in 45% of their last 11 games.

New Zealand U16 let in goals in 41% of their last 17 matches.

Games between these two average 7.00 goals.

Cook Islands U16 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

New Zealand U16 lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

5 Points in last 5 43

0.71 Goals expected (xG) 3.75

3.14 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	New Zealand U16	3	3	0	23:1	9
2	Fiji U16	3	2	1	6:10	6
3	Cook Islands U16	3	1	2	4:10	3
4	Vanuatu U16	3	0	3	3:15	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Tahiti U16	3	3	0	6:3	9
2	New Caledonia U16	3	1	2	7:6	3
3	Samoa U16	3	1	2	4:5	3
4	Solomon Islands U16	3	1	2	6:9	3