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Cook Islands U17 vs Fiji U17

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Championship U17 2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cook Islands U17 play Fiji U17 in the OFC Championship U17 2013. Fiji U17 are favorites here. Recently, Cook Islands U17 averaged 1.05 goals scored and 4.05 conceded. Fiji U17 averaged 1.76 goals scored and 2.36 conceded. In past meetings, Cook Islands U17 won 0, Fiji U17 won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jan 22, 2023 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.96 for Cook Islands U17 and 3.56 for Fiji U17. This points to a Fiji U17 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Cook Islands U17
15%
Draws
69%
Fiji U17
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fiji U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Cook Islands U17 picked up more points recently compared to Fiji U17.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.96 vs 3.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 87%
Over 1.5 Goals 92%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 51%
Over 4.5 Goals 26%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33%
Cook Islands U17 Clean Sheet 10%
Fiji U17 Clean Sheet 16%
First Half Goal 83%
Second Half Goal 87%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cook Islands U17 Fiji U17
Matches Played 20 25
Wins 3 9
Draws 0 3
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 1.05 1.76
Goals Conceded 4.05 2.36
Expected Goals (xG) 0.43 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 5.00 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 22, 2023 OFC Championship U16
Fiji U17 vs Cook Islands U17
3:0
Jan 19, 2015 OFC Championship U16
Fiji U17 vs Cook Islands U17
5:0
Apr 25, 2013 OFC Championship U16
Cook Islands U17 vs Fiji U17
0:5

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cook Islands U17 16 / 100
Fiji U17 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cook Islands U17 Fiji U17

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fiji U17 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Fiji U17 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +100%
12.50
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +7.9%
1.27
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Cook Islands U17 attacking → ← attacking Fiji U17

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cook Islands U17 scored in 45% of their last 20 games.

Fiji U17 let in goals in 64% of their last 25 matches.

Games between these two average 4.33 goals.

Cook Islands U17 went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Fiji U17 lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

9 Points in last 5 30
0.43 Goals expected (xG) 2.13
5.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1New Zealand U17550023:315
2New Caledonia U17530210:79
3Vanuatu U1752219:68
4Fiji U17521210:87
5Papua New Guinea U1751132:84
6Cook Islands U1750051:230