Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cook Islands U17 vs Tonga U17

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Championship U17 2011 North Harbour Stadium, Auckland
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The OFC Championship U17 2011 game between Cook Islands U17 and Tonga U17 finished 6-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cook Islands U17.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Cook Islands U17
15%
Draws
85%
Tonga U17
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tonga U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cook Islands U17 come out ahead of Tonga U17 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Cook Islands U17's way, sitting at 42%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this OFC Championship U17 2011 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Cook Islands U17 Clean Sheet 10%
Tonga U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cook Islands U17 Tonga U17
Matches Played 20 14
Wins 3 2
Draws 0 0
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 1.05 0.79
Goals Conceded 4.05 7.43
Expected Goals (xG) 3.06 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 22, 2013 OFC Championship U16
Tonga U17 vs Cook Islands U17
1:7
Jan 15, 2011 OFC Championship U16
Cook Islands U17 vs Tonga U17
6:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cook Islands U17 40 / 100
Tonga U17 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cook Islands U17 Tonga U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tonga U17's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 14 matches.

H2H data points to 8.00 goals as a typical output.

Tonga U17 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Cook Islands U17's goal record stands at 45% scoring rate across 20 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Cook Islands U17 VS Tonga U17
0.38 Goals Scored 0.38
4.38 Goals Conceded 5.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Cook Islands U17

(Home)
22 Jan
Fiji U17
3 : 0
Cook Islands U17
17 Jan
Vanuatu U17
2 : 1
Cook Islands U17
14 Jan
Tahiti U17
6 : 0
Cook Islands U17
21 Jan
New Zealand U17
6 : 0
Cook Islands U17
19 Jan
Fiji U17
5 : 0
Cook Islands U17
Page 1 of 4

Tonga U17

(Away)
21 Jan
Tahiti U17
5 : 0
Tonga U17
18 Jan
Tonga U17
0 : 3
Fiji U17
15 Jan
Tonga U17
0 : 6
Samoa U17
20 Jan
Tonga U17
2 : 0
American Samoa U17
18 Jan
Tonga U17
0 : 13
Tahiti U17
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 New Zealand U17 4 4 0 0 13:1 12
2 Vanuatu U17 4 3 0 1 13:5 9
3 Papua New Guinea U17 4 2 0 2 4:7 6
4 Fiji U17 4 1 0 3 10:6 3
5 American Samoa U17 4 0 0 4 1:22 0
Promotion - OFC Championship U17 2011 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Championship U17 2011 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tahiti U17 4 4 0 0 14:2 12
2 Solomon Islands U17 4 3 0 1 22:4 9
3 New Caledonia U17 4 2 0 2 27:6 6
4 Cook Islands U17 4 1 0 3 8:15 3
5 Tonga U17 4 0 0 4 2:46 0
Promotion - OFC Championship U17 2011 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Championship U17 2011 (Play Offs)